Long time no trade! Weekly Trade Outlook – BTC Focus
Monday Recap | 3PM GMT
Bitcoin remains in a global uptrend, but we’re currently sitting at the weekly range extreme — so caution is key. Internally, we've seen some bearish action, but price recently tapped into a clean 4H demand zone, showing a strong reaction.
Key question this week:
→ Can we reclaim 2H structure to make another push toward the top of the range?
Before that happens, keep in mind there's a 4H supply zone acting as resistance, so we’ll need to see how price reacts there.
While BTC navigates this structure, there are notable scalp opportunities setting up this week. All have been outlined in the setup — just remember:
Wait for confirmation before entering.
De-risk quickly when in profit.
Stay adaptive, especially around the midrange levels.
🎥 Video recap dropping later today — stay tuned.
Weekly Class Schedule
🕒 Monday – 3PM GMT
🕒 Tuesday – TBC
🕒 Friday – TBC
BTCUSDT trade ideas
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youBitcoin is currently within a recent price volatility range, and while the overall trend remains unclear, combined with news from the Bitcoin Conference, there are multiple factors conducive to going long. From a policy perspective, the Bitcoin Conference revealed that some countries may shift their regulatory attitudes toward cryptocurrencies. If subsequent countries announce the relaxation of Bitcoin regulations and allow more legitimate investment channels, this will directly stimulate market capital inflows. It is akin to opening a floodgate for capital, as a large number of investors will pour into the market to buy Bitcoin due to policy tailwinds, driving prices higher.
In terms of market confidence, if experts and institutions at the conference unanimously express optimistic expectations for Bitcoin, believing it has significant upside potential, this will greatly ignite market enthusiasm for long positions. When market participants are confident in the future, they are more willing to buy and hold Bitcoin, further supporting price increases. From a technical standpoint, if the conference announces a major breakthrough in Bitcoin's technology—such as a substantial increase in transaction speed or a significant reduction in transaction costs—Bitcoin's practicality and attractiveness will be greatly enhanced. The improvement in its intrinsic value will also be reflected in its price, attracting more capital to go long.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
BTCUSDT BUY@107000~108000
SL:105000
TP:109500~110000
BTC 4H Setup – OB Rejection or Launchpad? Bitcoin is currently ranging below a 4H Order Block (OB) and forming a potential higher low. With price holding above the key 0.618 fib zone (104.1k), this could act as a springboard for continuation — or a trap.
Key Levels:
Support: 104.1k–103.6k (fib cluster & mid-volume node)
Immediate Resistance: 105.1k (OB 4H)
Breakout Target: 107.1k
Fail-safe: 103.0k
Scenarios:
🟩 Bullish Path:
Hold 104k zone
Reclaim 105.1k OB = confirmation
Push toward 107.1k & higher liquidity sweep
🟥 Bearish Path:
Rejection from OB + break below 104k
Eyes on 103.0k as next bounce zone
Plan:
Long scalp above 104.2k if volume sustains
TP1: 105.1k (retest OB)
TP2: 107.1k
SL: Below 103.6k (tight invalidation)
📌 “OB rejection or flip? Market’s next impulse hinges on this 104k–105k squeeze.”
Market Overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Despite the prevailing bullish trend, bitcoin failed to gain a foothold at the lower end of the sideways range. Instead, there was a breakdown downwards, which led to a shift of the accumulated volume in the short direction.
After that, the support zone of $104,200 – $102,300 (accumulated volumes) was tested, which was followed by the first positive reaction from buyers.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
It’s too early to talk about a full-fledged reversal and a resumption of the bullish trend. The resumption looks weak, both in terms of volume and momentum.
In the near future, we should expect a repeat test of the formed minimum. In the absence of a buyer's reaction, a rollback to the next area of interest is possible. An alternative scenario is the formation of a new sidewall between key levels:
– $104,200 – $102,300 (current accumulation zone),
– $107,000 – $109,800 (potential upper limit).
Sell zone:
$107,000–$109,800 (accumulated volume)
Buy zones:
$104,200–$102,300 (accumulated volume)
~$100,000 (initiating volume)
$98,000–$97,200 (local support)
Level at $93,000
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance)
IMPORTANT DATES
The following macroeconomic events are expected this week:
• Monday, June 2, 13:45 (UTC) — the publication of the index of business activity in the US manufacturing sector for May;
• Monday, June 2, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the ISM index of business activity in the US manufacturing sector for May;
• Monday, June 2, 17:00 (UTC) — speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell;
• Tuesday, June 3, 09:00 (UTC) — publication of the consumer price index for May and in comparison with May 2024 in the Eurozone;
• Tuesday, June 3, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the number of open vacancies in the labor market (JOLTS) USA for April;
• Wednesday, June 4, 12:15 (UTC) — publication of changes in the number of people employed in the US non—agricultural sector for May from ADP;
• Wednesday, June 4, 13:45 (UTC) - publication of the index of business activity in the service sector (PMI) USA for May, as well as Canada's interest rate decisions;
• Wednesday, June 4, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the US non—manufacturing purchasing managers' index for May from ISM;
• Thursday, June 5, 12:15 (UTC) - publication of the deposit rate, as well as interest rate decisions in the Eurozone;
• Thursday, June 5, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States;
• Thursday, June 5, 12:45 (UTC) — press conference of the European Central Bank;
• Friday, June 6, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the average hourly wage, changes in the number of people employed in the non-agricultural sector and the unemployment rate in the United States in May.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
BTCUSDT Hello everyone. I’ve spotted a sell opportunity on BTCUSDT and have already activated the trade. I wanted to share the same setup with you as well.
🔍 Trade Details:
✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1 / 1:1.50
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell
✔️ Entry Price: 106155.39
✔️ Take Profit: 105560.48
✔️ Stop Loss: 106550.09
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
bitcoinBitcoin (BTC) Correlation with DXY, Bond Yields, and Interest Rates
1. Bitcoin vs. Dollar Index (DXY)
Inverse Correlation: Bitcoin and DXY typically move in opposite directions. A stronger dollar (DXY↑) reduces demand for risk assets like BTC, while a weaker dollar (DXY↓) boosts BTC as a hedge against fiat depreciation.
DXY↑: Investors flock to USD safety, pressuring BTC.
DXY↓: Capital rotates into BTC as a risk-on asset or inflation hedge.
2. Bitcoin vs. Bond Yields
Evolving Relationship:
Historical Inverse Link: Rising 10-year Treasury yields often pressured BTC (e.g., 2022 Fed hikes).
Recent Decoupling: In 2025, BTC and 10-year yields hit a record-low correlation (-0.8), signaling BTC’s independence from traditional bonds.
Key Drivers:
Inflation Hedge: BTC gains appeal as bonds struggle with rising yields (e.g., 30-year yields at 5.07% in May 2025).
Portfolio Diversification: Investors increasingly treat BTC as “digital gold,” reducing bond allocations.
3. Bitcoin vs. Interest Rates
Fed Policy Impact:
Rate Hikes: Strengthen USD (DXY↑) and bond yields, pressuring BTC
Rate Cuts: Weaken USD and lower yields, boosting BTC’s appeal
Real Yields Matter: BTC thrives when real yields (nominal yield - inflation) fall, as seen during stagflationary environments.
Summary Table
Correlation Relationship Key Drivers
BTC ⇄ DXY Inverse (DXY↑ → BTC↓) Risk sentiment, USD strength as safe haven
BTC ⇄ Bond Yields Increasingly negative (2025) Inflation hedging, portfolio diversification
BTC ⇄ Interest Rates Indirect via DXY and yields Fed policy, real yield dynamics
Critical Trends in 2025
BTC-DXY Decoupling: BTC’s rally to $105,268 and hit 111k amid DXY volatility shows growing independence.
Bond Market Shift: Investors rotate from Treasuries to BTC amid fiscal deficits and inflation.
Fed Policy Pivot: Expected rate cuts could weaken DXY and bolster BTC’s bullish case.
Conclusion
BTC-Yields: Negative correlation strengthens BTC’s role as a bond alternative in inflationary regimes.
Macro Strategy: Use DXY and bond yields as leading indicators for BTC’s risk-on/risk-off cycles.
Trade Implications:
A DXY drop below 98.4 could signal BTC bullish momentum.
Rising bond yields may temporarily pressure BTC but reinforce its long-term hedge appeal.
#btc #bitcoin #crypto
Here's what will happen with BITCOIN in June⚡️ Hello everyone! As I wrote in one of my previous ideas, the first correction target is the 106-103 level, where there is a huge amount of demand. This target has now been reached!
Some will say that Trump is manipulating the markets. This is partly true. However, the charts often show signs of what is to come in advance.
Today, we will analyze what awaits Bitcoin in June:
⚙️ Metrics and indicators:
Volume - there is a divergence in sales during the correction. Because of this, buyers are likely to take control right now to make another attempt to update the ATH.
DMF - liquidity has returned to Bitcoin from the 103 level. This hints at a return of demand and a potential continuation of the trend.
VRVP - shows a huge area of buyer interest at the 104-103 level. This has provided support for the current rebound.
DSD - shows prevailing demand from buyers. Up to levels of 106,300. And a very small volume of demand. This may indicate that locally, those who wanted to have already fixed their profits and many are waiting for a new ATH before starting to fix their positions.
📌 Conclusion:
It will be an interesting month! Historically, markets have quieted down in the summer and slowly declined due to a lack of liquidity. This trend has continued, including now.
However, at the moment, many metrics and even stabilized geopolitics indicate that growth is likely to continue and the ATH may be updated.
Now we will either:
📉 test the 112-110 zone and continue the correction lower
📈 or set a new ATH and continue moving forward.
The second option is certainly harder to believe. But that's why we are traders, because we have to be ready for anything!🔥
Have a great week!
BTC at CROSS ROADS### 📌 **BTC/USDT – Crucial 4H Price Action Ahead!** 📌
BTC is currently navigating within an *ascending channel* pattern on the **4-hour timeframe**. Recently, we experienced a brief *fake breakdown*, quickly reversed by bullish momentum. BTC is now approaching the critical resistance level near **\$107.4k**.
### 🚩 **Key Levels:**
* **Resistance:** \$107.4k (critical test)
* **Immediate Support:** \$105k
### 📊 **Technical Indicators:**
* **RSI:** *Neutral (\~50)* – Direction undecided, waiting for a clear move.
* **MACD:** *Momentum weakening* – Indicates traders should remain cautious.
### 🔮 **Potential Scenarios:**
* **✅ Bullish:** A breakout above **\$107.4k** would likely open the gates to higher targets around **\$109k–\$110k**.
* **❌ Bearish:** A rejection at **\$107.4k** could trigger a move back toward support near **\$105k**, with potential further downside.
### 📢 **Summary & Trading Tips:**
Watch closely for BTC’s reaction around **\$107.4k**. Confirm breakouts with additional signals from RSI and MACD to mitigate risk. **Trade carefully!**
Continue to push higher!The current price of Bitcoin is 106,400. Short-term market sentiment is optimistic, with some rebound momentum. However, a Dark Cloud Cover candlestick pattern near the recent high indicates short-term pullback risks. Nevertheless, a Three White Soldiers pattern at the bottom suggests subsequent upward potential, creating a short-term tug-of-war between bulls and bears. Factors such as continuous inflows of institutional funds, policy "green lights," and the halving effect have laid the foundation for a Bitcoin bull market, and there is still long-term upward potential. The short-term resistance level is near 108,000 USD. If this level is broken through, the key resistance level above is 112,000 USD. A successful breakthrough of the 112,000 USD resistance level could open up further upside space.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@105000-105500
TP:107000-107500
BTC isn’t bearish. It’s just collecting fuelPrice didn’t fail — it paused.
BTC retraced into the 0.382–0.5 zone after rejecting from the local high, and what looks like weakness to most is actually compression — perfectly staged above a clean 1D OB and nested FVG.
Below the current level sits the real opportunity: the imbalance between 102.4K–100.1K, backed by a 1D demand zone and high-volume support. If Smart Money wants to rebalance before the next leg, that’s where they’ll do it.
The path is simple:
Sweep into the 100.5K–102.4K zone
React off the OB
Expand to rebalance the FVG at 106.2K
Displace toward the next draw: 110.5K (final inefficiency + liquidity shelf)
Only a close below 96.9K changes the macro intent.
Execution mindset:
🔑 Optimal long: 100.5K–102.4K (OB/FVG zone)
🎯 Target 1: 106.2K
🎯 Target 2: 110.5K
❌ Invalidation: Full body close below 96.9K — structure must reset
Most traders chase the move.
I wait where Smart Money needs to act.
I’m not reacting. I’m positioned.
Bitcoin trend price analysis!Chart Pattern: Inverted Head and Shoulders (iH&S)
The chart shows a classic reversal pattern of the head and shoulders formation.
Left Shoulder: Late January 2025
Head: April 2025
Right Shoulder: Potentially forming near current levels (~$100K–$102K)
This bullish reversal pattern often leads to a strong bounce if the neckline is respected.
Support Zones:
$98,000 – $100,000: 50 EMA (red) and retest of the area near the neckline
$94,500 – $95,000: 200 EMA (green), last resort support
Resistance Levels:
$108,000 (horizontal neckline resistance)
$112,000 and $125,000 (bullish breakout targets)
Scenario Outlook
Bullish Case: If BTC maintains the $100K area and breaks above $108K with volume → rally towards $115K–$125 K.
Bearish Case: Breakdown below $94K invalidates the iH&S structure
btc will go down its matter of time *Bitcoin Plummets: What's Behind the Sudden Decline?*
The cryptocurrency market is known for its volatility, and Bitcoin (BTC) is no exception. Recently, the price of Bitcoin has taken a significant hit, leaving investors wondering what's behind the sudden decline.
*What's happening?*
Over the past week, Bitcoin's price has dropped by over 10%, with the cryptocurrency's value falling from around $43,000 to $38,000. This decline has been accompanied by a decrease in trading volume and a surge in sell orders.
*Why is Bitcoin going down?*
Several factors are contributing to Bitcoin's decline:
1. *Regulatory uncertainty*: Increased scrutiny from governments and regulatory bodies has led to uncertainty among investors. Potential restrictions on cryptocurrency use and trading have spooked the market.
2. *Market correction*: After a significant price surge, Bitcoin's value was due for a correction. Investors are taking profits, leading to a decline in price.
3. *Global economic trends*: Rising inflation and interest rates have led to a shift in investor sentiment. Riskier assets like cryptocurrencies are being sold off in favor of more stable investments.
4. *Technical factors*: Some analysts point to technical indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which suggest the market is oversold.
*What's next?*
While it's difficult to predict the future price of Bitcoin, investors are watching key support levels. A break below $35,000 could lead to further declines, while a rebound above $40,000 could signal a recovery.
*Investor takeaways*
1. *Diversify*: Spread investments across asset classes to minimize risk.
2. *Stay informed*: Keep up-to-date with market news and trends.
3. *Set stop-losses*: Limit potential losses by setting stop-loss orders.
The cryptocurrency market is known for its unpredictability. As Bitcoin navigates this downturn, investors must stay vigilant and adapt to changing market conditions.
Liquidity was the excuse. Expansion was the goal.This BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P move was written before it happened — clean sweep, BPR fill, and now the setup is primed. You either knew where price was going, or you reacted late.
Price expanded aggressively into a clear 1H IFVG. That wasn’t just a push — it was a calculated run into a premium imbalance.
Now? We're retracing. Right into the EQ of the breaker block and the 0.5 fib (105,039). Exactly where the market wants you uncertain. I’m not.
Here’s the logic:
1H IFVG is filled. That’s done.
Price retraced directly into the 0.382 and 0.5 fib zone.
We have a defined BPR, and price is now hovering around its midpoint — ideal zone for reaccumulation.
As long as 104,999–105,039 holds, I expect a continuation back into 105,891 → 106,478.
If that range breaks clean, the low-hanging liquidity below 104,359 becomes a magnet.
But the narrative right now? HTF is still aligned bullish. We're in the phase where most traders get shaken out before the real move starts.
Trade idea: If I’m in, my invalidation is clean — under 104,699. Target is north of 106,000. I’ll scale partials at 105,799 and let the rest ride.
You want more trades like this? Check the account description. I don’t just post setups — I build conviction.
Let the influencers scream. I prefer precision.
Wed May 28 BTCAfter a month of continuous failed short trades, I’ve stepped back from the market. At this point, staying flat feels like the most strategic move. This rebound is unlike anything I’ve experienced over the past 5 years of trading — it may even be the strongest rally since COVID.
This raises a critical question:
Is the economic recession over?
Or are we witnessing a dead cat bounce before a much deeper downturn?
Rather than forcing a direction, I’m focusing on observing structure, volume, and key breakout zones. I'm resisting the urge to predict and instead preparing to react based on confirmation. BINANCE:BTCUSDT CME_MINI:NQ1!
Bitcoin Long Now ! Details chart ! 89% Accuracy VIP Signal !🟢 BTCUSDT Long Setup | 15min (BINANCE)
Entry: ~108840 zone
Stop Loss: Below 108192.82
Take Profits:
TP1: 109488.98
TP2: 110149.67
TP3: 110855.75
Reasoning:
Liquidity grab below support.
Bullish rejection and structure shift.
Potential W pattern forming.
Clean RR and price action setup.
Trade Plan:
Expecting price to break above 109488.98, retest it, and then push toward 110855.75.
📊 Classic support rejection + market structure shift play.
🔔 Not financial advice. Manage your risk!
#BTC #BTCUSDT #Crypto #TradingView #PriceAction #LongSetup #Binance #TA
Bitcoin: Supported By News In The Short-TermBitcoin: Supported By News In The Short-Term
News:
Senator Lummis commentes: Bill to buy $1M bitcoin hits Senate floor next week
"President Trump supports the bill".
The Senate will shift focus to creating a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve after the stablecoin vote
Technical Analysis:
BTC is in a strong bullish trend and also above a very strong structure zone located between 107K and 108.5K
The chances are that the news and the current price zone could push BTC up again in the short term to complete a larger pattern which may expand more.
I am looking only for a short-term movement with targets 110345 and 111300
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
BTCUSDT on daily support, likely to head to 109kWe have the price revisiting the daily support DS1.
This presents a long opportunity for us.
The price is likely to find support in this zone and bounce from here.
The target of this long trade shall be the daily resistance DR1 marked on the chart. This resistance zone DR1 sits around 109k area.
In case the price reaches there, it is likely to experience some pullback there.
We will reevaluate the price action on DR1 once it reaches there and decide about the next steps.
What do you think about BTC price and this trade setup presented? Share it with me in the comments.