BITCOIN → False breakout of 110K. Negative background???BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P hit a new all-time high of almost 112K on the back of improved economic and fundamental data, but the party didn't last long before Trump's next speech...
Yesterday, Trump spoke and announced new tariffs on the EU. The markets reacted quite aggressively to this news. Despite the fact that the market has practically bought back all the losses, the question itself remains open. The introduction of 50% tariffs on Europe will increase the risk background, which could trigger a fall in both the stock market and cryptocurrencies. In this case, money will flow into gold (a safe asset)...
Technically, Bitcoin is forming a false breakout of the global resistance level of 110K (previous ATH). The price is reacting and forming a bearish momentum (coinciding with the change in the fundamental background).
The area between 109.8 and 110.3 is a resistance and liquidity zone relative to the previous ATH. If the bears hold the resistance, Bitcoin may get stuck inside the 110K - 106.8K (105K) range.
Resistance levels: 109.8K, 110.3K, 112K
Support levels: 106.8K, 105K
Accordingly, if the 110K resistance holds amid the correction, consolidation below the resistance will confirm the formation of a false breakout, and in this case, Bitcoin may move to the 110K (112K) - 105K (102K) range. However, situations change daily, and if Bitcoin does break through 110K and manages to consolidate above its previous ATH, this will be a signal for growth...
Best regards, R. Linda!
BTCUSDT trade ideas
#BTCUSDT Big Pump Next Hour - Bitcoin, BTCUSD, BTCUSDT 📉 Double Bottom Pattern Forming – Potential Reversal Setup
The current price structure is showing signs of a Double Bottom – a classic bullish reversal pattern. After an extended downtrend, this pattern suggests that the market may be preparing for a trend reversal from this key demand zone.
🔹 Trade Setup
Entry, Targets, and Stop Loss (SL) are marked on the chart.
Entry: Upon breakout confirmation above the neckline.
Stop Loss: Just below the recent swing low to manage downside risk.
Targets: Calculated using the measured move method from the bottom to the neckline .
🔹 Risk & Money Management (Professional Approach)
To maintain consistent profitability and protect capital, strict risk management is essential. For this setup:
🔸 Position Sizing: Based on a fixed % of total capital (typically 1–2% of account equity per trade).
🔸 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Minimum of 1:2, ideally higher.
🔸 Stop Loss Discipline: No arbitrary changes after entry. SL only adjusted for breakeven or trailing stops once price moves favorably.
🔸 Trade Management: Secure partial profits at key levels, trail stops as structure forms.
🔸 Capital Allocation: Avoid overexposure. Trade fits within overall portfolio strategy.
💬 Let the setup come to you. React, don’t predict.
🔁 Like, comment, or share your thoughts below!
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P INDEX:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D CRYPTO:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSD
Bitcoin – Possible 4h Sweep at 106.5kBitcoin recently printed a sharp rejection after revisiting a key supply area formed by a 4H fair value gap, overlapping perfectly with the golden pocket zone from the most recent down move. This confluence provided a strong technical ceiling, causing a clear reaction and shifting short-term sentiment to the downside. The rejection was sharp and clean, leaving behind an upper wick that signals strong selling interest. From here, price appears to be in search of support, and our eyes are now locked on the 4H imbalance around the 108.2k level, which could serve as a key pivot for the next directional move.
Consolidation and Confluence Structure
This recent move isn’t just a random drop. We’ve built a range around this resistance zone, with multiple failed attempts to break higher, followed by a clear rejection from inside the 4H FVG and golden pocket. This kind of structure usually tells us two things: first, buyers are struggling to break through strong institutional resistance, and second, there’s still liquidity left below that the market may want to sweep before any continuation higher. This is where the FVG at 108.2k and the PDL around 106.5k come into play. Both zones are clean, visible, and highly likely to draw price if the current level doesn’t hold.
Fair Value Gap Reaction Potential
The 108.2k zone is where the first major reaction could occur. It marks a fresh 4H imbalance created during the impulsive move upward, and price is now backfilling that inefficiency. If buyers step in here, respecting this imbalance as a demand zone, we could easily see a rotation back up toward 110.2k and eventually a retest of the upper resistance band near 111k. This would be a typical FVG play: price rebalances into the gap, finds demand, and continues higher.
Failure Scenario and Liquidity Sweep Setup
If the 108.2k FVG fails to hold as support, the next target becomes much more obvious, the previous day’s low at 106.5k. That level is also a 4H swing low, making it a prime liquidity draw. A move below that low would allow price to collect sell-side liquidity, sweep out late longs, and potentially trap breakout traders expecting further downside. If this level is swept cleanly and followed by bullish displacement, it could offer a high-probability long entry from the discount zone. The risk-reward from this setup would be ideal, especially if we reclaim 108.2k afterward.
Market Context and Higher Timeframe Bias
Zooming out, the structure remains bullish on higher timeframes, but this local rejection is a necessary reset. It’s a shakeout that allows price to reprice into demand and generate momentum for the next leg up. This kind of behavior is typical in trending markets, corrective moves that dig into inefficiencies, hunt liquidity, and then reestablish the trend. As long as we don’t see sustained closes below 106k, the bias remains tilted toward continuation to the upside, with current price action offering a potential entry opportunity.
Price Target and Expectations
If we hold the 108.2k zone, my first short-term target is the 110.2k structure high, followed by the upper resistance area around 111k where the initial rejection occurred. A reclaim of that zone opens the door to expansion toward 112k. If instead we sweep the PDL and bounce from 106.5k, the first target would be a retrace into the 108.2k imbalance, with the next leg aiming for the same resistance range. Either path sets up a long opportunity from areas of value.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is at an important decision point. The rejection from the 4H FVG and golden pocket confirms strong resistance, and price is now seeking support lower. The 108.2k FVG is a critical zone, a hold here gives us a clean continuation setup, while a failure could lead to a deeper liquidity sweep toward 106.5k. Either scenario offers high-quality trade potential as long as we stay disciplined and wait for confirmation from price action. Patience is key, but both levels present opportunities to position long from areas where smart money typically steps in.
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Next Volatility Period: Around June 6
Hello, traders.
Please "Follow" to get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This is the last day of this volatility period.
To continue the uptrend, the price needs to rise above at least 109403.63 and hold.
If it fails to rise, we need to check if it is supported near 106843.58.
And we need to see if it can touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart and rise.
If the price is maintained above the HA-High indicator, it is also important to see if the price can be maintained above 106843.58, as there is a possibility of a stepwise rise.
The next volatility period is expected to be around June 6.
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(30m chart)
It seems that the basic trading strategy is being followed faithfully.
That is, it is showing a pattern of buying near the HA-Low indicator and selling near the HA-High indicator.
Therefore, we need to focus on finding a trading point when the HA-Low or HA-High indicator is touched.
However, if it is supported by the HA-High indicator and rises, it is likely to show a stepwise upward trend, and if it is resisted by the HA-Low indicator and falls, it is likely to show a stepwise downward trend.
Even so, we must not forget that the end of a stepwise upward trend is a decline, and the end of a stepwise downward trend is an increase.
At the current price position, the important points on the 1D chart are 111696.21, 109403.63, and 106843.58.
Therefore, when looking at the 30m chart, if the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are generated near the important points above, it is necessary to interpret that point as forming a more important section.
In other words, the HA-Low indicator was generated at the 107096.41 point near the current 106843.58 point, and it eventually showed an upward trend.
Therefore, if the HA-Low indicator is newly generated as the price falls, you should check if there is an important point near it.
Otherwise, if it touches the existing HA-Low indicator point of 107094.41 again, it is more likely to fall because it touches the second time, so you need to be careful when trading.
This means that the HA-Low indicator is likely to rise when it is first generated, and is likely to fall when it touches the second time.
Conversely, the HA-High indicator is likely to fall when it is first generated, and is likely to rise when it touches the second time.
Since the interpretation of the indicator is not 100% applicable, you should check the support and find the trading point.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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Taming the Trend: Mastering the Williams Alligator IndicatorEver wondered how to spot when the market is sleeping or ready to roar? At Xuantify , we use the Williams Alligator Indicator to decode market behavior with precision. Whether you're trading crypto, forex, stocks, or indices — this tool adapts across all markets. Let's take a closer look using BINANCE:BTCUSDT
🧠 How We Use It at Xuantify
We treat the Alligator as a trend confirmation and timing tool . We don’t just look for crossovers — we analyze the distance , angle , and alignment of the lines to gauge market momentum and trend maturity. It’s especially powerful when combined with volume and volatility filters.
⭐ Key Features
Three Smoothed Moving Averages
Jaw (Blue) : 13-period, shifted 8 bars forward
Teeth (Red) : 8-period, shifted 5 bars forward
Lips (Green) : 5-period, shifted 3 bars forward
Visual Trend Clarity :
The spacing and direction of the lines reveal trend strength and direction
Built-in Delay :
Forward shifting helps anticipate rather than react
💡 Benefits Compared to Other Indicators
Trend Clarity
Alligator : Strong — bold trend visualization
Moving Averages : Moderate — can lag or overlap
MACD : Good — clear histogram and signal line
Noise Filtering
Alligator : Excellent — smooths out market noise
Moving Averages : Low — sensitive to short-term fluctuations
MACD : Good — filters minor moves
Early Signals
Alligator : Moderate — waits for confirmation
Moving Averages : Fast — quick crossovers
MACD : Fast — early divergence signals
Visual Simplicity
Alligator : Clear — easy to interpret trend phases
Moving Averages : Cluttered — multiple lines can overlap
MACD : Complex — requires interpretation of histogram + lines
⚙️ Settings That Matter
For shorter timeframes : Reduce periods (e.g., 8-5-3) for faster signals
For longer timeframes : Stick with defaults or increase smoothing for clarity
Shift values : Keep them forward-shifted to maintain predictive edge
📊 Enhancing Signal Accuracy
Wait for clear separation between the lines
Confirm with volume spikes or breakouts
Use price action (e.g., higher highs/lows) as confirmation
🧩 Best Combinations with This Indicator
Fractals : For entry/exit signals
ATR : For dynamic stop-loss placement
RSI or Stochastic : To avoid overbought/oversold traps
Volume Profile : To validate breakout zones
⚠️ What to Watch Out For
Flat Alligator = No Trade Zone : Avoid trading when lines are tangled
Lag in Fast Markets : In high-volatility assets, the Alligator may react late
Over-reliance : Always combine with other tools for confirmation
🚀 Final Thoughts
The Williams Alligator isn’t just an indicator — it’s a market behavior model . At Xuantify, we use it to stay aligned with the market’s rhythm, avoid chop, and ride trends with confidence.
🔔 Follow us for more educational insights and strategy breakdowns!
DeGRAM | BTCUSD fixed above the $104,000 level📊 Technical Analysis
● Bulls twice defended the 103-105 k demand and purple trend-line, turning the zone into a springboard; price also reclaimed the inner grey trend-median, preserving higher-lows in the 7-week rising channel.
● A fresh ascending triangle is coiling under 111 k; pattern height projects to the red 112-115 k supply/channel roof once 111 k gives way, while invalidation rises with the trend-line at 103 k.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● CoinShares reports a third straight week of spot-ETF inflows (+US$1 bn) and the BTC exchange reserve just printed a new 3-year low, signalling supply squeeze. Meanwhile, ISM manufacturing slipped back below 50, cooling U.S. yields and the DXY and reviving crypto appetite.
✨ Summary
Long 104-106 k; triangle break >111 k targets 112 k → 115 k. Bull view void on a 16 h close beneath 103 k.
BTC Scalping / Intraday Signal – Entry, Stop & Target Ready!🕒 Timeframe: 15min / 5min
⚠️ Note: Manage your risk — intraday volatility is high.
This is a short-term opportunity, not a long hold.
Disclaimer: This is our personal analysis and not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.
💬 What’s your take on this? Drop your thoughts in the comments and feel free to share this with your friends! ❤️
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
From a macro policy perspective, Bitcoin's development is ushering in a potentially favorable environment. Take the United States as an example, discussions around cryptocurrency policies have gradually increased in recent years. Although the direction has not been fully clarified, some positive signals continue to emerge. For instance, certain U.S. legislators have proposed bills to promote the compliant development of the cryptocurrency industry, aiming to establish a clearer regulatory framework for digital currencies like Bitcoin. Once these policies are implemented, they will attract more traditional financial institutions and compliant funds to enter the market. Additionally, globally, more and more countries are researching and exploring the application of digital currencies, and the acceptance of Bitcoin is gradually increasing. This improvement in the policy environment provides a solid foundation for Bitcoin's price increase.
Bitcoin's macro policy environment is transitioning from "unregulated chaos" to "compliance-driven order." The clarification of regulatory frameworks in the U.S. and the advancement of global central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) form a long-term bullish logic. With the current price correction to the key support level of 105,988 USD and technical signs of stabilizing, this presents an ideal window to position for both "policy dividends" and a "technical rebound."
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
BTCUSDT BUY@105000~106000
SL:103000
TP:108000~109000
BTCUSDT – Clean short from supply zoneAfter a strong move up, BTC tapped straight into a clear 30m supply zone that previously led to a big drop. Price rejected pretty much instantly with a wick and no follow-through from buyers — that was my trigger to enter short.
I’m looking to play the move back into the demand zone around $103.3k – $103.2k, where we last saw strong buying.
Entry: $104,606
Stop: $104,846 (above the last high)
Target: $103,269
RRR: Around 3:1
Volume was drying up during the push into the zone — no real momentum behind the move. That’s usually a sign the second leg is weak, and it lined up well with the visual rejection.
If price breaks above and holds above the zone, I’ll be out. Until then, I’m leaning short while we stay below it.
Reasoning:
Clean structure
Weak bullish retrace into supply
Solid RRR
Compression → expansion setup
Let’s see how it plays out. Will update if anything changes.
BTC/USDT 1DAY CHART UPDATE !!BTC/USDT Chart Analysis
The price has broken above a key resistance area (~$104,000–$105,000) and is now retesting it as support.
The 50-day (red) and 200-day (green) moving averages slope upward, indicating bullish momentum.
Price activity consolidates just above the key resistance-to-support area, indicating accumulation ahead of a potential breakout.
If the price sustains above $104,000, we could see continuation towards $120,000–$125,000.
A break below $104,000 could see the price retest lower support areas near $100,000 or even $97,000–$98,000.
Conclusion:
Bullish bias above $104,000.
If support fails, a bearish move is possible, but momentum is in the bulls’ favor right now.
Stay tuned for updates and key levels to watch!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
BTC/USDT 4-Hour Technical Analysis – June 2, 2025The current BTC/USDT setup on the 4-hour timeframe continues to reflect a bearish structure, characterized by consistent lower highs and lower lows, indicating sustained downward momentum.
The chart identifies a Sell Stop entry at $102,886.86, strategically placed just below a recent support level. This allows the short position to activate only if price confirms further bearish continuation.
The trade plan is defined as follows:
Sell Stop: $102,886.86
Stop Loss (SL): $106,060.00 – placed above the recent swing high for risk protection
Take Profit 1 (TP1): $100,146.42 – the first support zone where a bounce could occur
Take Profit 2 (TP2): $98,451.67 – targeting a deeper extension in the prevailing downtrend
The RSI Divergence Indicator shows a reading of 42.53, still above oversold territory but trending downward. Additionally, a prior bearish divergence is marked on the RSI, reinforcing downside expectations.
The overall analysis points to a continuation of the downtrend, with the market expected to break below key support if selling pressure persists. This trade setup offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, provided price action confirms the entry trigger.
Let me know if you'd like this idea
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) - Price Testing 26EMA and 12EMA - Daily ChartBitcoin (BTCUSDT) price is currently testing the 26EMA and 12EMA price levels on the Daily chart.
Bitcoin price has been in a medium-term uptrend since April and May 2025.
However, a short-term downtrend pullback has occurred and the price recently bounced up from the 26EMA zone ($104,000).
A morning star candle price pattern printed above the 26 EMA support line.
Large buyer volume could confirm the price candle pattern and Bitcoin price could rally up above 12EMA resistance ($106,000).
If price continues to reject and fall below $106,000 the downtrend would likely continue into June 2025.
Breaking news and stock market correlations could affect the price of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies.
Tariff news and trade deals are supposed to occur throughout June and July 2025.
Bitcoin (BTC): Fight Over Current Zone | Buyers HoldingThe fight keeps going on where both buyers and sellers are showing strong dominance with momentum candles. We are being patient here; we see that buyers still manage to hold the current zone but also we see the attempts by sellers to dump it from here.
Nevertheless, all those sell attempts have failed so far, so we might be seeing very volatile movement either to upper zones or lower zones, but we are voting for upward movement as long as buyers maintain dominance in current regions.
Swallow Academy
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-06-03 22:30 UTC✅ Bullish Reversal Confirmed
Breakout from a descending wedge with a strong volume surge (3x avg)
EMA(20) crossover above EMA(50) – early uptrend signal
RSI(14) at 58.7 – shows healthy bullish momentum
MACD turning positive with a fresh signal line crossover
OBV rising in line with price – confirms genuine accumulation
🔍 Smart Money Activity
Whale bid zone spotted between $105,500–$105,600 (visible in DOM)
Breakout aligns with London session high, adding sessional strength
🧠 Technical Confluence
This move combines structure, momentum, and volume — classic signs of a trend reversal and early entry opportunity. Chart markups include the wedge breakout zone, whale bids, EMA cross, and Fibonacci levels for context.
📈 Watching for potential continuation if current momentum sustains. Clean setup backed by technicals and smart money presence.
BTC Showing Signs Of A Pullback In The Next 2 WeeksBTC is showing signs that it is getting ready for a temporary pullback. I suspect a descending triangle or pennant is forming on the 30min charts to signal the reversal and the best price to short will be between 109500-110000. This is confirmed with a daily close below 106300.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #100👋 Welcome to the 100th Bitcoin Analysis!
I'm really happy we've shared this 100-day journey together, and I hope you've been able to benefit from these analyses along the way.
💥 Every single analysis I've posted so far has been the basis for real trades that I've taken myself. I'm glad to say the overall result of those trades has been profitable, and I hope your results have been positive too.
⚡️ Today, I want to do a full multi-timeframe breakdown of Bitcoin and other major crypto indices. Let’s dive in and see where the market stands.
💰 Bitcoin Analysis
📅 Weekly Timeframe
As you can see, in the weekly chart, Bitcoin reacted to an ascending curved trendline during its recent correction phase and retraced up to around 72,147.
💫 On the RSI, we also have a key support level at 44.75, which has held again. The combination of this support with the curved trendline has created a potential PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone), and price has since resumed its upward move.
✔️ Last week’s candle managed to close above the resistance at 104,919 for the first time ever. Many in the market expected that a weekly close above this level would trigger a sharp rally toward 130,000 or even 160,000.
📊 However, that hasn’t happened—this week’s candle is still small and lacks strong bullish momentum.
✨ We can now view the range between 104,919 and 108,454 as a resistance zone. Although the price has entered this zone, we haven’t yet confirmed a breakout. That confirmation would come with a weekly close above 108,454.
📈 Despite the strong momentum before breaking ATH, price seems to be losing steam now. That’s not necessarily bad—it’s actually expected, since this area is one of the most important supply zones for Bitcoin and won’t break easily.
🔽 If price gets rejected and this move turns out to be a fakeout, there’s a real possibility of a trend reversal. We’ve got a potential double top forming, which is usually the first signal of a reversal. If price then breaks the 72,147 support, it would confirm the end of the current uptrend. A lower high and lower low afterward would confirm a new downtrend.
⭐ At this point, I can’t give you a new spot-buy trigger in this timeframe. The trigger was around the curved trendline. Since price has moved away, we need to wait for a new setup to form.
Let’s check lower timeframes for more detailed price action.
📅 Daily Timeframe
In the daily chart, after getting support at 76,087, price started moving up and with the breakouts of 87,700 and 91,953, the bullish phase began.
🔍 Currently, price is holding above 106,250 with increasing volume since the 91,953 breakout. Everything looks ready for Bitcoin to begin its main move and enter an extension leg up.
🚀 If this happens, price could target 129,000 and even 150,000. RSI will be key for confirmation—if it re-enters Overbought territory and holds above 77.81, higher targets become more likely.
🛒 The previous spot-buy triggers I gave were at 87,700 and 91,900. If you entered with those, I recommend holding for now and waiting for signs of a trend change before taking profits.
🔔 If you didn’t buy earlier, I can’t provide a new entry just yet—we need to wait for a new structure and trigger to form.
🔽 For now, I still see the trend as bullish. A bearish scenario would require a fakeout below 106,250—if price drops and forms a lower high and lower low, the uptrend would be over and a downtrend would begin.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
After breaking 106,250, price rallied to 111,826 and is now pulling back to 106,250.
✔️ RSI is holding above its local support at 44.48, and as long as it stays above that level, market momentum remains bullish.
📈 You can consider entering a long on a pullback to 106,250. A breakout above 111,826 would be the main trigger for a new long.
🔑 Right now, there’s no valid reason to short, so it’s best to wait for a clear bearish structure before considering that.
👑 Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D)
📅 Weekly Timeframe
After several green weekly candles, BTC.D printed a large red candle, pulling back toward the midline of its ascending channel and rejecting from 64.77. However, it’s now moving back up again.
💥 With this strong momentum, there’s a good chance BTC.D could break out of the channel. If 64.77 breaks, we could see a push toward 71.04.
⚡️ To confirm a bearish reversal in BTC.D, we’d need to see a breakdown below the lower trendline of the channel. That would likely signal the start of an altseason.
📅 Daily Timeframe
BTC.D has been in an uptrend and even broke above its channel briefly. But after hitting 65.31, it started a correction and dropped to the midline at 62.22.
🎲 It quickly bounced from 62.22 and is now moving upward again. Given the bullish structure, it could retest the 65.31 high.
📈 If it forms a lower high and breaks below 62.22, that would confirm a trend reversal. A breakout above 65.31 would confirm continuation of the uptrend.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
BTC.D rallied to 64.31 and is now trying to retest that level. If it breaks above 64.31, the next target is 65.41.
🧲 If it forms a lower high and breaks 63.51, we’d get a confirmation that the bullish leg has ended, increasing the chances of a move to 62.17.
✔️ Total2 (Altcoin Market Cap Excluding BTC)
📅 Weekly Timeframe
After breaking the curved trendline, Total2 fell to around 816B before bouncing alongside Bitcoin.
⚡️ Currently, it’s ranging between 1.15T and 1.26T for the past three weeks.
🧩 If price breaks this range, it could rally toward 1.61T, which is the most important supply zone for Total2. A breakout here would likely trigger a strong altcoin rally.
🛒 If that breakout coincides with a drop in BTC.D, it would be an excellent spot-buy opportunity for altcoins.
📊 If the current rally fails to reach 1.61T and forms a lower high, another drop toward 816B is likely. This time, the chance of breaking that support would be high—confirming a trend reversal.
📅 Daily Timeframe
Price is stuck in a range between 1.15T and 1.26T.
🔼 A breakout from either side would likely lead to a strong move. A break below 1.15T could extend the decline toward 861B, while a break above 1.26T would target 1.62T.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
Same structure as the daily chart. Long trigger = 1.26T breakout. Short trigger = 1.15T breakdown.
🔑 If price forms a higher low and starts moving back up, the likelihood of breaking 1.26T increases. The next target would be 1.33T.
✔️ USDT Dominance (USDT.D)
📅 Weekly Timeframe
USDT.D is ranging between 3.78 and 6.22.
📉 It recently formed a lower high below 6.22 and broke below 5.06, now heading toward 3.78.
🤔 If USDT.D drops to 3.78, we could see a major market rally—Bitcoin might move toward 130,000 or 160,000.
🚀 If 3.78 breaks, the next support is at 2.53, which would mark the start of a major bull run.
📅 Daily Timeframe
USDT.D has hit support at 4.40 and is now approaching a descending trendline that’s been holding since the 6.22 top.
📈 If that trendline breaks, the trigger is at 4.70. A breakout here could lead to a move to 5.02.
🔽 If price gets rejected again, the short trigger is at 4.40, and the next support is at 3.81.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
Support at 4.38 has held, and price is now above 4.50 and approaching the trendline.
🎲 If 4.50 fails and price drops to 4.40, a break below 4.40 confirms a bearish continuation.
📊 If the trendline breaks, use 4.74 as your confirmation trigger.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bitcoin Chart Analysis – May 31, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team.
With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum.
🔔 Follow us to never miss a market update.
Bitcoin’s Technical Rebound Potential Increases… Time to Consider a Short-Term Long Position
Recently, Bitcoin has continued its short-term downtrend amid remarks from former President Trump and global macroeconomic uncertainty. In particular, after falling to around $103,000, bearish sentiment has spread across the market. However, from a technical perspective, this zone appears to be one worth noting from a buying standpoint.
At present, this zone aligns with the completion of a classic Bat pattern, which suggests the potential for a rebound. This pattern, one of the harmonic patterns, is considered relatively reliable due to its clear Fibonacci-based structure. Furthermore, considering that the decline unfolded in an impulsive wave and has since undergone sufficient correction, this can be interpreted as an appropriate time to enter a long position with expectations of a rebound.
Technically, a strong support reaction has been confirmed near the 103K level, which overlaps with a historical support zone and the 1.414 Fibonacci extension. This confluence is significant as it may signal the end of the selling pressure and the start of a shift in market balance.
Long Position Strategy Suggestion
In the short to mid-term, the following target prices can be set, and a staggered take-profit strategy appears effective.
First target: 106,000 — A short-term resistance level overlapping with the previous day's high
Second target: 106,900 — A midpoint that could indicate a potential breakout from the downtrend line
Third target: 107,800 — An additional expansion target if the previous high is broken
Supplementary Analysis of Market Conditions
Currently, the weekend market has begun. Historically, trading volumes tend to drop during weekends, and the market often moves sideways. This implies a period of reduced volatility and potentially unclear direction. As a result, this weekend may see a slowdown in the downtrend and the development of a sideways consolidation or bottoming structure.
In this context, rather than interpreting the ongoing downtrend as a further short opportunity, it may be more advantageous to shift toward viewing this as a long-entry opportunity. If a rebound follows the current short-term correction, and both market sentiment and technical structure align, the upward movement could unfold rather quickly — making proactive positioning essential.
Bitcoin - Waiting for a clear breakout!About an hour ago, Bitcoin (BTC) managed to fully fill the 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG). After touching the upper boundary of this gap, the price reacted sharply and quickly reversed, which resulted in the formation of a Swing Failure Pattern (SFP).
What is a SFP?
A Swing Failure Pattern, or SFP, occurs when the price briefly moves above a previous high but fails to sustain that move. In this scenario, the price only sweeps above the previous high with a wick, but the candle does not close above it. This often signals that buyers could not maintain control, and it can lead to a reversal or a loss of momentum.
Narrow range
Currently, BTC is trading within a narrow range between 106,600 and 110,600. Within this range, the price is moving up and down without breaking out in either direction. On the 1-hour chart, BTC respected the FVG a few hours ago, which suggests that bullish momentum might still have a chance to develop.
Bullish breakout
For a bullish breakout, we would want to see BTC break above 111,000 with strong buying momentum. If this happens, the price could turn the current resistance into new support and potentially make a move toward the all-time high (ATH).
Bearish breakout
On the other hand, a bearish breakout would require the price to close below 106,600 with significant volume. If BTC closes below this level, the support could turn into resistance, and a drop toward 100,000 would become a real possibility.
Conclusion
In my view, BTC showed strength by holding the 1-hour FVG, but after the latest move upward, it failed to break through resistance and instead formed a SFP. Because of this, I expect a pullback toward 108,000 or even 106,000. At this stage, it’s best to be patient and wait for a clear breakout in either direction before making any major trading decisions. If you want to protect your capital, it’s wise to wait for confirmation before entering a new position.
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7X Monday. My next scalp ideaDaily Update – Tuesday
Congratulations to everyone who took the trades yesterday—we landed two juicy setups that I believe were the trades of the day. We’re already up 7X for the week, and it's only Tuesday. 🔥
The second trade in London was undoubtedly juicier than the first. You take what you get and keep it moving. Let's see what today brings.
I'm currently eyeing a continuation long, as Bitcoin has shown enough strength to break structure on the 2H, albeit undecisively. This calls for caution—we may be setting up for a 4H lower high, with the next target at 110K.
The road there won’t be smooth—it’ll have its tides, turns, and plenty of opportunities.
📚 Today’s class will be sometime this afternoon, before 6 PM London time—so stay tuned for the juiciest scalps.
🎥 Video recap dropping later today — stay tuned.
Weekly Class Schedule
🕒 Monday – 3PM GMT
🕒 Tuesday – Pre 6PM GMT
🕒 Friday – TBC