Gold Friday Volatility – Liquidity SweepsGold Friday Volatility – Liquidity Sweeps & Potential Channel Break Ahead
Gold kicked off Friday with intense volatility, triggering sweeping liquidity grabs during the Asian session. Price dropped aggressively into the 327x region, clearing stop zones and vacuuming liquidity — only to quickly rebound and fill the imbalance above.
This classic FVG (Fair Value Gap) behavior was especially visible on the M30 timeframe, as price repeatedly left behind inefficient zones and promptly returned to fill them. Volatility remains elevated — and traders should proceed with caution.
📉 Technical Context – End of the Downtrend?
Since Thursday, gold has been trading in a clean descending parallel channel, respecting lower highs and pushing downward. However, late in the Asian session today, a bullish momentum surge appears to be testing the upper boundary of this channel.
We are now watching the 3324 level very closely.
A confirmed breakout above this zone — with candle closure outside the trendline — would suggest a structure shift and open the door for BUY setups on the retest.
Until then, we observe. Let price confirm. We trade the reaction, not the assumption.
🌍 Macro Risk – Trade Tensions & Weekend Volatility
The market remains extremely reactive to:
Geopolitical risks: Military tensions are still simmering.
US–China tariff discussions: President Trump is expected to make remarks on tariff policy.
Any surprise here could heavily impact USD and gold.
⚠️ Liquidity sweeps are common on Fridays — especially into London and NY sessions — so risk management is critical today.
📌 Key Technical Levels to Watch
🔺 Resistance:
3345 → 3364 → 3395
🔻 Support:
3280 → 3270 → 3256 → 3244 → 3225
The 3324 and 3366 zones are particularly critical.
If price closes firmly above these zones, bullish continuation becomes more likely.
If price gets rejected, we stay within range and look for sell opportunities.
🎯 Trade Plan – Friday, May 10
🟢 BUY ZONE
Entry: 3280 – 3278
SL: 3274
TPs: 3285 → 3290 → 3295 → 3300 → 3305 → 3310 → 3320
🔴 SELL ZONE
Entry: 3364 – 3366
SL: 3370
TPs: 3360 → 3356 → 3352 → 3348 → 3344 → 3340 → 3330
🧠 Final Thoughts:
Friday often delivers unexpected liquidity traps.
With news expected from the White House and technical structure on the verge of a break, this session could offer both risk and reward — if approached with discipline.
✅ Use clear levels.
✅ Respect TP/SL.
✅ Stay sharp as NY volume enters.
📣 Let’s end the week strong. Drop your charts and ideas below!
Futures market
Silver Softens Near $32.50 as Risk Appetite ImprovesSilver hovered around $32.50 Friday, easing from earlier highs as optimism around U.S.-UK trade progress and upcoming talks with China reduced precious metals demand. The Fed’s hold on interest rates and cautious tone also weighed on precious metals. Still, silver remains on track for a weekly gain.
Technically, resistance is seen at $33.80, followed by $34.20 and $34.85, while support levels are noted at $32.00, $31.40, and $30.20.
Gold Slips Toward $3,290 on Trade OptimismGold extended losses for a third day, dropping toward $3,290 as market appetite for risk improved ahead of U.S.-China trade talks. The announcement of a U.S.-UK trade deal also contributed to reduced safe-haven demand. The Fed held rates steady as expected, warning of risks to inflation and jobs but avoiding any hint of preemptive cuts. Still, gold is poised for a weekly gain.
Resistance is seen at $3,360, $3,430, and $3,500, while support holds at $3,270, $3,200, and $3,165.
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XAU/USD Price Action Update – May 9, 2025📊XAU/USD Price Action Update – May 9, 2025
🔹Current Price: 3,323.27
🔹Timeframe: 15M
📌Key Demand Zones (Support):
🟢3297.82–3306.95 – Short-term bullish demand zone
🟢3269.60–3277.58 – Previous accumulation block
🟢3222.9–3226 – Higher Timeframe Demand (major reaction zone)
📉Bearish Scenario:
Price recently rejected from upper supply and is now hovering just above intraday support. A clean break below 3297 zone could trigger further downside into 3269 or even 3222. Watch lower timeframe BOS for short setups.
📈Bullish Scenario:
If price finds support above 3306, a potential bounce could push back toward 3330–3345 short-term. Confirmation required on 5M/15M for re-entry.
⚠️Strategy Note:
✅Wait for reaction from green zones
✅Use BOS or engulfing for confirmation
✅Tight SL below structure; TP depends on momentum
#XAUUSD #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #GoldScalping #BreakOfStructure #FXFOREVER #ForexAnalysis #IntradayGold #DemandZone
XAU/USD 09 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains remains the same as analysis dated 07 May 2025.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis that I would continue to monitor price and depth of bearish pullback following previous bullish iBOS.
Price did not pull back with any significance, therefore, I will apply discretion and not mark the previous iBOS. I have however marked this in red.
Price continued bullish and subsequently printed a bearish iBOS to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zones before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,435.055
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Lingrid | GOLD complex PULLBACK from RESISTANCE zoneOANDA:XAUUSD is maintaining its structure above a key upward trendline after a higher low formed near support. The market remains technically bullish while staying above this level, with the recent pullback looking corrective rather than impulsive. Buyers may step in for a renewed attempt toward the upper resistance area. Watch for a bullish breakout continuation above 3,326 toward 3,380 if buyers hold the current support line.
📌 Key Levels
Support zone: 3,305.583 (upward trendline and structure base)
Breakout target: 3,380.000 (resistance ceiling of range)
Invalidation level: Below 3,304.696 (would negate bullish setup)
⚠️ Risks
Breakdown below trendline could trigger deeper correction
Price consolidation may reduce momentum short term
Rejection near 3,326 could signal fading bullish strength
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Gold's Bearish Momentum Builds from PRZ-Short SetupGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to decline exactly from PRZ (previous idea) as I expected in my previous idea . And with the loss of the Support zone($3,387-$3,357) we can expect further decline.
Gold is currently moving near the Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357 ) and the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
From the Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to have completed a five-wave impuls e and we should expect corrective waves . Since the momentum of the second decline that broke the Support zone($3,387-$3,357) is high , the correction is expected to continue and Gold appears to be completing a pullback .
---------------------------------------------
The US Unemployment Claims Index was also released a few minutes ago, and let's take a look and examine the possible impact on Gold .
This better-than-expected data confirms a stronger U.S. labor market , reducing the urgency for the Fed to cut rates anytime soon .
Impact on Gold :
A resilient job market supports the hawkish stance of the Fed , which could keep downward pressure on Gold in the short term as yields and the dollar remain firm.
However, traders should remain cautious and watch for upcoming data and Fed commentary, which could shift the tone.
---------------------------------------------
I expect Gold to start falling from Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) to the targets I have indicated on the chart. The first target could be around $3,319 .
Note: If Gold touches $3,401(the worst Stop Loss(SL)), we can expect the resistance lines to break and gold to rise further.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold Tests 3350–3370 Zone Ahead of FOMCGold surged after breaking out of the wedge formation as expected and reached a new high, though still below the 3,500 level. Now, the focus shifts to the 3,350–3,370 zone. While $20 is a relatively wide range for a support zone, this area previously acted as a supply zone and is now functioning as a demand zone.
Still, despite a day marked by rising conflict risk between India and Pakistan, new easing measures from China’s central bank, and an announcement of additional gold buying, gold looks weaker than expected. One possible reason is the overly optimistic rate cut expectations from the Fed. That optimism may be tested at today’s FOMC meeting, where I believe Powell will deliver a slightly hawkish message.
For any meaningful downside move, the 3,350–3,370 zone must be broken first. Until then, the bulls will try to hold on to control.
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USOIL: Oscillating and Declining within the RangeFor USOIL, its short-term trend has rebounded after hitting the bottom again. The oil price has repeatedly crossed the moving average system, and its objective short-term trend is in a sideways oscillation. Overall, it has formed a wide fluctuating range in its rhythm. In the early trading session, the oil price oscillated above the range, showing signs of insufficient upward momentum. It is expected that the intraday trend of crude oil will mainly fluctuate within the range.
USOIL
sell:60.5-61.5
tp:59.5-58.5
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
XAUUSD Take ProfitThe gold trade I just shared delivered great profit and helped me hit my daily profit target in a single trade :)
So, gold ended up being both the first and last trade of the day.
Tomorrow is the weekend and the FX market will be closed, but as always, the crypto market stays open.
Hopefully, BTC will offer some good opportunities tomorrow :))
Wishing everyone a great weekend!
XAUUSDHello traders!
There's a buy opportunity on the XAUUSD pair, and I wanted to share this trade with you. The trade is currently active on my end, and I’ve set the Risk-to-Reward Ratio to 1:1.50.
🔍 Criteria:
✔️ Timeframe: 15M
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 3320.74
✔️ Take Profit: 3335.20
✔️ Stop Loss: 3311.13
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes.
📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies:
💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses.
Gold price fell after a surge? Continue the downward trend?Analysis of gold market trend:
Gold price surged in the morning of Asian session, but then fell to around $3,315.
Market situation analysis shows that gold price continued the trend of yesterday in Asian time, rising rapidly in the morning, and then began to decline. It fell to $3,275 in the morning, and then rose to today's high of $3,330.
From the perspective of the gold hourly line, it began to rise after a brief decline in the morning of Asian session, effectively breaking through the resistance level of 3,315 and rising to a high of $3,330 for a short time. Then a downward trend appeared. This high-level fluctuation shows that the market is in a big wash and is brewing a new trend.
I think the downward space may be around $3,300.
Operation strategy:
Short around $3,320, stop loss at $3,330, and take profit at $3,300.
"Gold Under Pressure: Bearish Continuation Toward $3,200 Zone XAUUSD (Gold/USD) – 1H Chart
📊 Technical Analysis:
Chart Pattern:
The chart shows a clear bearish market structure, with successive lower highs and lower lows forming.
A bear flag or corrective structure broke to the downside, confirming bearish continuation.
There's a clear liquidity sweep near the resistance zone (red area) followed by a rejection, indicating strong seller presence.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: 3330–3345 (highlighted in red) – previous support turned resistance (confirmed by blue arrows).
Support Zone: 3202–3223 (highlighted in green) – price is projected to test this demand zone again.
Price Action:
Sharp rejection from the resistance zone with bearish engulfing candles suggests continued selling pressure.
A lower high was recently formed, hinting at a possible final push down to the green zone.
Short-Term Bias: Bearish
Entry: Around 3330–3340
Target: 3220–3205 zone
Stop Loss: Above 3345 (last swing high)
🌍 Fundamental Analysis:
US Economic Data:
Strong recent US employment numbers or hawkish Fed commentary could be strengthening the USD, pressuring gold.
Expectations of higher-for-longer interest rates weigh on non-yielding assets like gold.
Geopolitical Landscape:
Any cooling in geopolitical tensions or a shift away from safe-haven assets can cause further gold weakness.
Inflation Trends:
If inflation shows signs of easing in the US, Fed rate hike expectations decline—currently not the case, maintaining bearish pressure on gold.
DXY Correlation:
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) likely remains strong, which inversely affects gold’s value.
Gold Rebounds Amid Geopolitical TensionsOANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) bounced back to $3,330 amid escalating global tensions, including renewed conflicts on the Russia-Ukraine front and flare-ups along the India-Pakistan border. Safe-haven demand supported the rebound, but the upside may be limited as markets watch US-China trade talks and digest the limited US-UK trade deal. Technically, gold remains in a corrective phase below the $3,365 resistance zone. A clean break above this level could trigger a retest of the $3,413 supply zone. Otherwise, bears may drag it back toward $3,289 and $3,239 support. Traders watch closely for clarity from today’s FOMC speakers.
Resistance : $3,330 , $3,364 , $3,413
Support : $3,289 , $3,239