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EURUSD

GOLD market update: range locked / breakout pending🏆 Gold Market Mid-Term Update 📊 Technical Outlook Update 🏆 Market Overview ▪️broke above 3 000 USD ▪️3250 USD S/R cleared as well ▪️Tested 3500 USD key S/R ▪️Rejection at 3500 USD key S/R ▪️pullback in progress currently ▪️locked inside range trading ▪️3275/3365 usd active range ▪️break below 3245 - BEARS take over ▪️break above 3385 - BULLS take over ▪️Bulls targets - 3450/3550 USD ▪️Bears targets - 3050/3150 USD ⭐️Recommended strategy ▪️Wait for a breakout ▪️LONG/SHORT after breakout 🔥 Key Drivers to Watch 🌍 Geopolitics & Trade 🇺🇸🇨🇳 U.S.–China Tariffs: Escalation continues pushing inflation fears & gold demand 🇪🇺 EU–U.S. tariffs (25%) are further straining global trade 💵 Weaker USD = stronger gold sentiment 🕊 Russia–Ukraine Ceasefire Talks 🗓 May 9 (Victory Day): Symbolic date eyed for a possible ceasefire announcement 🇷🇺 Parade vs 🇺🇦 EU leaders visiting Kyiv — all eyes on peace prospects ☢️ U.S.–Iran Nuclear Deal 🗓 April 28: Talks in Rome 🇮🇷 Iran shows readiness — possible easing of Middle East tensions
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ProjectSyndicate
37
Gold Trapped? Everyone’s Long… But Price is Going Down!Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of exhaustion after its explosive rally that pushed it beyond $3,400. We are now witnessing a pullback phase, with price directly testing a key demand zone between $3,050 and $2,980. From a technical standpoint, this is the last major defense before a potential drop toward the $2,832 area. The current bearish pressure is supported by a powerful blend of macro, positioning, and behavioral factors: COT Report – Gold: Non-commercials (speculators) are aggressively closing long positions and opening shorts, which signals a breakdown in the short-term bullish narrative. On the other hand, commercials (hedgers), also known as the "smart money", are steadily increasing their long exposure, hinting at a potential accumulation zone forming. COT Report – USD Index: Speculative funds are stacking long positions on the dollar, which continues to add downside pressure on gold. As long as this persists, any upside attempt on XAU/USD will likely face headwinds. Seasonality: May tends to be historically bullish for gold, but June is seasonally weak. The strongest seasonal window opens between July and August, suggesting the possibility of a deeper pullback before the next bullish wave. Retail Sentiment: Over 75% of retail traders are long on XAU/USD, typically a contrarian signal. This sets the stage for a classic stop-hunt scenario, where price flushes lower to trigger retail stop-losses before a potential reversal. 📌 Conclusion: In true Bridgewater fashion, we’re seeing a divergence between positioning and price action. In the short term, gold remains vulnerable to a move toward $2,832. However, if that zone holds, it could provide a compelling opportunity to accumulate for a potential summer swing rally toward all-time highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
GOLD - FVG-Based Long & Short Setup Within Range ContextPrice action remains range-bound with well-defined FVG zones acting as both support and resistance, offering reactive trading opportunities on both sides. --- 1. Upper FVG as Resistance — Short Setup Trigger Zone The highlighted upper green zone marks: - Fair Value Gap (FVG): A clear inefficiency from the previous bearish impulse. - Structural Significance: Price has struggled to break and hold above, showing signs of supply reactivation. This zone is likely to attract sellers upon revisit, offering a clean risk-defined short opportunity. --- 2. Lower FVG as Support — Long Setup Zone The lower blue zone serves as: - FVG Rebalance Area: A region where price previously left inefficiency, now acting as strong support. - Accumulation Interest: Smart money often reloads in such imbalanced areas on retests. This zone is optimal for positioning into the next bullish leg should price dip lower. --- 3. Liquidity Sweep Mechanics — Trap Both Sides The market structure hints at: - Step 1: Induce buyers into breakout longs into resistance. - Step 2: Reverse from FVG, triggering short entries and trapping longs. - Step 3: Collect liquidity from lower range, potentially initiating new accumulation. This movement pattern is characteristic of engineered liquidity grabs in both directions. --- 4. Mid-Range Reaction — Key Pivot Area Price currently hovers around the mid-range zone: - Serving as a temporary balance point before volatility expansion. - Acting as a launchpad for the next impulsive move, depending on order flow dominance. Patience here is key — waiting for clean confirmations near FVGs provides optimal entry quality. --- 5. Summary: - Upper FVG Resistance → Short Bias - Lower FVG Support → Long Bias - Structured Reactions Around Imbalances Suggest Smart Money Activity This is a dual-sided setup ideal for reaction-based traders awaiting price confirmation at extremes.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Louigi_24
41
EURUSD – Bear Flag Before Further Drop?Like most of the market, EURUSD reacted strongly on April 22–23 with a sharp move down. Since then, price has entered a consolidation phase — and thIS pause has now taken the shape of a bear flag, a classic continuation pattern that often leads to further correction once confirmed. 📉 Key levels to watch: 1.1350 – Initial trigger for the flag break 1.1300 – Confirmation of bearish momentum Target: 1.1100 Invalidation: A return above 1.1500 would negate the pattern and call for reassessment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
4
XAU/USD - Bearish Flag Pattern (25.04.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 3232 2nd Support – 3188 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
42
Bearish drop?EUR/USD has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 1.14245 1st Support: 1.1146 1st Resistance: 1.1569 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
1
German inflation higher than expected, Euro dipsThe euro is calm on Wednesday. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.1334, down 0.45% on the day. Germany's inflation rate dropped to 2.1% y/y in April, down from 2.2% in March but above the market estimate of 2.0%. This was the lowest level in seven months, largely driven by lower energy prices. The more significant story was that core CPI, which excludes energy and food and is a more reliable indicator of inflation trends, rose to 2.9% from 2.6%. This will be of concern to policymakers at the European Central Bank, as will the increase in services inflation. The ECB has to balance the new environment of US tariffs and counter-tariffs against the US, which will raise inflation, along with the strong rise in the euro and fiscal stimulus which will boost upward inflationary pressures. The ECB will be keeping a close look at Friday's eurozone inflation report, which is expected to follow the German numbers. Headline CPI is projected to drop to 2.1% from 2.2%, while the core rate is expected to rise to 2.5% from 2.4%. The central bank would prefer to continue delivering gradual rate cuts in order to boost anemic growth, but this will be contingent on inflation remaining contained. The markets were braced for soft US numbers but the data was worse than expected. ADP employment change declined to 62 thousand, down from a revised 147 thousand and below the market estimate of 115 thousand. This was followed by first-estimate GDP for Q1, which declined by 0.3% q/q, down sharply from 2.4% in Q4 and lower than the market estimate of 0.3%. This marked the first quarterly decline in the economy since Q1 2022. The weak GDP reading was driven by a surge in imports ahead of US tariffs taking effect and a drop in consumer spending. EUR/USD has pushed below support at 1.1362 and is testing support at 1.1338. Below, there is support at 1.1306 There is resistance at 1.1394 and 1.1418
by OANDA
German inflation higher than expected, Euro dipsThe euro is calm on Wednesday. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.1334, down 0.45% on the day. Germany's inflation rate dropped to 2.1% y/y in April, down from 2.2% in March but above the market estimate of 2.0%. This was the lowest level in seven months, largely driven by lower energy prices. The more significant story was that core CPI, which excludes energy and food and is a more reliable indicator of inflation trends, rose to 2.9% from 2.6%. This will be of concern to policymakers at the European Central Bank, as will the increase in services inflation. The ECB has to balance the new environment of US tariffs and counter-tariffs against the US, which will raise inflation, along with the strong rise in the euro and fiscal stimulus which will boost upward inflationary pressures. The ECB will be keeping a close look at Friday's eurozone inflation report, which is expected to follow the German numbers. Headline CPI is projected to drop to 2.1% from 2.2%, while the core rate is expected to rise to 2.5% from 2.4%. The central bank would prefer to continue delivering gradual rate cuts in order to boost anemic growth, but this will be contingent on inflation remaining contained. The markets were braced for soft US numbers but the data was worse than expected. ADP employment change declined to 62 thousand, down from a revised 147 thousand and below the market estimate of 115 thousand. This was followed by first-estimate GDP for Q1, which declined by 0.3% q/q, down sharply from 2.4% in Q4 and lower than the market estimate of 0.3%. This marked the first quarterly decline in the economy since Q1 2022. The weak GDP reading was driven by a surge in imports ahead of US tariffs taking effect and a drop in consumer spending.
by OANDA
Bullish bounce off pullback support?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.1274 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Stop loss: 1.1145 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that line sup with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and the 100% Fibonacci projection. Take profit: 1.1415 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
EURUSD: Small bounce followed by a strong sell-off.EURUSD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.681, MACD = 0.0130, ADX = 48.626) but has turned sideways since the April 21st High with the 1D RSI getting rejected on March's Resistance back to the HL trendline. As you see this is roughly the same pattern as August 2024. After the RSI hit the HL trendline it pushed the price upwards back to the recent High only to get rejected heavily to the S1 level. Consequently, we are waiting for that rejection to be confirmed and take the short to the March 26th S1 level (TP = 1.07500). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
Euro may drop to 1.1200 points, exiting from pennant patternHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Earlier, the price was growing steadily inside an upward pennant, following a strong breakout from the buyer zone. This impulse pushed the market higher toward the current support level at 1.1300, where the price found a temporary stabilization. Afterward, EUR moved into a range phase, trading sideways between local highs and lows. Despite several attempts to break higher, the market repeatedly showed weakness near the upper boundary, resulting in multiple turnarounds. Each bounce up was followed by lower highs, forming the descending resistance line of the pennant, while buyers defended the support area. Currently, the market is squeezed between the resistance and support lines, forming a classic compression pattern. Price action reveals increasing pressure on the support, and recent rebounds are becoming weaker, a clear sign of buyers losing momentum. In my view, the overall market situation has shifted from a strong bullish impulse toward a potential downside correction. So, given the breakdown structure forming and the price testing the lower side of the pennant multiple times, I expect a bearish breakout soon. My current TP1 is the 1.1200 points level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
12
EURAUD H2 compression BUY/HOLD +150/300 pips🏆 EURAUD Market Update 📊 Technical Outlook 🔸Short-term: BEARS 7650/7700 🔸Mid-term: BULLS 8050/8150 🔸Status: compression wedge 🔸getting ready for a PUMP 🔸noteworthy compression in April 🔸Price Target Bears: 7650/7700 🔸Price Target BULLS: 8050/8150 📊 Forex & Gold Market Highlights – April 30, 2025 💶 EUR/USD Nears 1.1400 - Trading around 1.1390 amid softer U.S. economic data - Investors await German economic indicators and U.S. PCE report - April shows a 5.1% gain, the largest monthly increase since November 2022 💷 GBP/USD Hovers Near 1.3400 - Sterling trades at approximately 1.3379 after testing YTD highs - U.S. JOLTS and Consumer Confidence data missed forecasts, fueling Fed rate cut speculation 🥇 Gold Retreats Below $3,310 - Spot gold at $3,302.58 per ounce, down 0.4% - Decline follows easing trade tensions and a stronger U.S. dollar - Investors focus on upcoming U.S. PCE data and non-farm payrolls report 📌 Market Outlook: - EUR/USD: Potential to test 1.15 if German data supports euro strength - GBP/USD: Eyes on U.S. economic data for direction; support around 1.3300 - Gold: Volatility expected; watch for U.S. economic indicators influencing Fed policy expectations
Long
by ProjectSyndicate
27
Chart Overview (EUR/USD — 4H)Pair: EUR/USD Timeframe: 4 Hour Current Price: 1.13596 Key Concept Highlighted: “This is where money is made — in the retrace, not the rally.” (Focus is on catching retracements, not chasing rallies) --- Technical Breakdown 1. Wave Count (Elliott Wave context assumed) The chart labels wave iii as complete. A corrective move is underway (likely forming wave iv). The next anticipated move is wave v rally to the upside — target zone shown near 1.22000–1.20000. 2. Key Zones Immediate Support/Buy Zone: Small rectangle near the current price (likely minor demand zone). Major Buy Zone: 1.10500–1.11500 (approximate) → Strong demand area backed by confluence of: Previous wave structure support Trendline retest Cluster of economic event icons (suggesting high volatility catalysts) 3. Bias Waiting for price to either: Bounce from the immediate small support (early aggressive long), or Dip deeper into the major buy zone for safer long entries. ---
by Greenfireforex
DeGRAM | EURUSD Declining From the Supply Zone📊 Technical Analysis ● EUR/USD stays below the broken resistance line. ● While under $1.144, the chart favors a slide to 1.131 → 1.12. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● U.S. yields remain elevated, supporting the dollar. ✨ Summary Stalling Euro-area growth and firm U.S. yields reinforce the technical breakdown. A daily close below 1.131 should accelerate the decline towards 1.12. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
1
USDCAD | Technical Rebound or Final Stop Before the Crash?USDCAD is currently in a highly delicate phase: the price has reached a key weekly demand zone between 1.3720–1.3820, which overlaps with a strong Fibonacci retracement cluster (0.705–0.78) of the previous bullish leg. So far, the reaction has been muted, but price compression and fading volatility suggest a potential short-term rebound. However, looking at the bigger picture, the macro and positioning signals are flashing red for the US dollar: 📊 COT Report: Non-Commercials are significantly increasing short positions on USD and reducing shorts on CAD → bearish bias on USDCAD 🧠 Retail sentiment: Most retail traders are long on USDCAD → contrarian bearish bias 🗓️ Seasonality: May is historically negative for the USD and positive for the CAD → further confirms the short thesis Only a structural recovery above 1.4150 on the weekly close would invalidate the bearish setup. Until then, any retracement towards 1.3980–1.4050 should be seen as an opportunity to sell strength. 🎯 Key Levels: Sell zone: 1.3980–1.4050 Invalidation: Weekly close > 1.4150 Targets: 1.3720 – 1.3550 🔔 Critical note: When everyone is long, often the only direction left is down.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
"EURUSD | FVG + Discount Zone Confluence | Long Setup Brewing"⚡ EURUSD Analysis – 1H Timeframe | April 30, 2025 📊 Price Action Recap: After a sharp decline, EURUSD has stabilized in a classic accumulation range, and now it’s dipping into a juicy confluence zone that screams Smart Money re-entry. 🎯 Key Zones Identified: Fair Value Gap (FVG) Price is currently balancing a recent inefficiency — Smart Money loves to reload here. Discount Zone 50–100% We’re deep in the BUY SIDE real estate. Institutions shop here. Do you? Strong Demand Candles have printed around this zone — with wicks showing absorption of sell pressure. 🧠 Smart Money Logic: Retail: "It’s breaking support… SHORT!" Smart Money: "Perfect discount — let’s BUY what they’re selling." 💸📈 This is how liquidity gets transferred — one trapped seller at a time. 🧩 High-Probability Entry Checklist: ✅ Price inside Discount ✅ FVG touched ✅ Accumulation range forming ✅ Bearish momentum slowing down ✅ Entries aligning with Fibonacci golden pocket 🚀 Trade Idea Setup: Entry: Inside Discount Zone (1.13980 to 1.13750) SL: Just below 1.13750 (the low of the block) TP Zones: TP1: 1.14400 (Recent High) TP2: 1.15000+ (Premium Area near -161.8%) TP3: 1.15740 (Final Exhaustion Point at -400%) 📚 Smart Money Quote: “You don’t buy at value, you buy at imbalance — where retail hesitates, Smart Money executes.” 🔥 📌 Final Take: This is not a guessing game. It’s a blueprint. EURUSD is setting up a possible Low-Risk, High RRR long — IF we follow structure, not emotion. Wait for bullish reaction from the FVG zone and trail up using internal structure shifts. 📈 📸 Save this chart — this is how sniper setups are built. 💬 Comment "BUY THE DIP" if you’re watching this zone too. 📲 Tag your trading buddy who always hesitates at entries. 😂
Long
by ChartNinjas88
2
EURUSD H4 | Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 1.1374, which is a pullback resistance. Our take profit will be at 1.1144, a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibo retracement. The stop loss will be placed at 1.1573, which is a swing high resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
OSZAR »