GOLD → Return to range. Fall from resistance...FX:XAUUSD is reacting to data related to the tariff war. The price is returning to the range and forming a false breakout of resistance. The level of 3370 and the zone of interest at 3387 play a key role.
On Thursday, gold rose to $3,400 amid a weaker dollar, increased demand for safe-haven assets, and continued uncertainty due to US trade policy and tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine. The Fed left rates unchanged and expressed caution in its assessment of the outlook, which also supports gold's rise.
However, in the European session, we are seeing gold react to the trade deal with Britain, most likely due to the easing of tariffs. Now the main focus is on the terms of the deal. We should not forget about China, where the situation remains tense, but everyone is waiting for a resolution.
Resistance levels: 3352, 3369, 3385
Support levels: 3319, 3269
The fundamental backdrop changes several times a day. At the moment, the situation is as follows: the rise of the dollar, the weakening of the tariff war, and the hawkish stance of the Fed may put pressure on gold. Therefore, I expect the decline to continue after a retest of 3370-3386. In this case, the target could be 3319.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Chart Patterns
GOLD → The rally has given way to a correction. News aheadFX:XAUUSD is rising amid a challenging geopolitical environment. During the Asian session, a correction to the zone of interest (0.5 Fibonacci) is forming. The situation is quite complex and tense.
On Tuesday, the metal strengthened to 3433 due to tensions in the Middle East, but during the Asian session, gold fell sharply due to optimism surrounding the upcoming US-China trade talks, the strengthening of the dollar, and profit-taking ahead of the Fed's decision.
Investors are waiting for Powell's speech, which will determine the future of interest rate policy.
Despite the decline, gold is supported by ongoing geopolitical risks in the Middle East, Eastern Europe, and South Asia.
Theoretically, if the bulls keep the price above 0.5 Fibonacci, the growth may continue to 3439, as the price has not yet reached the liquidity zone.
Resistance levels: 3439
Support levels: 3369, 3352
However, unpredictable data could trigger a return of the price to the range and a correction to 3323-3300. Risk is posed by upcoming news: FOMC, Powell's speech, and the rate meeting. The Fed's hawkish stance could put pressure on gold...
Best regards, R. Linda!
BTC – One last pushmarket context and structure
This BTCUSDT 4-hour chart from BYBIT provides a broader perspective on BTC’s ongoing uptrend, emphasizing the role of fair value gaps in guiding price behavior. After a prolonged period of sideways action and consolidation, BTC initiates a sharp bullish impulse that breaks previous structure and introduces fresh momentum into the market. Each leg higher is followed by a corrective phase, during which multiple fair value gaps (FVGs) are formed. These FVGs serve as structural inefficiencies left by aggressive buying pressure and outline key zones of interest for future price interaction.
fair value gaps and institutional demand
The chart identifies three key FVGs that have influenced BTC’s price action. The lowest FVG, created during the initial breakout below the 89,000 zone, is the origin of this current bullish leg and reflects strong institutional involvement. The mid-level FVG, created as BTC pushed through the 94,000–96,000 region, marks another significant shift in order flow. The most recent FVG, created just prior to the most recent impulse, lies just beneath the 98,000 level and represents a more immediate zone of demand. Price is currently trading above this uppermost FVG, indicating that it may act as a reaccumulation zone if price retraces.
liquidity dynamics and continuation thesis
The projection drawn on the chart suggests a short-term retracement back into the upper FVG before a potential continuation higher. This idea is rooted in the expectation that institutional participants will revisit unfilled orders left within the FVG before driving price upward toward new liquidity pools. The light blue shaded zone indicates the potential target range for this continuation. The market has consistently respected prior FVGs, confirming their role as reliable demand zones and reinforcing the current bullish bias.
price behavior and structural clarity
BTC’s price action on this timeframe is characterized by impulse–correction cycles with clearly defined inefficiencies. Each impulse leaves behind an FVG, which is either fully or partially mitigated during pullbacks. The most recent bullish leg has created an unmitigated FVG directly beneath current price, suggesting that if a retracement occurs, it is likely to interact with this gap before continuing the upward trajectory. This behavioral pattern of clean imbalances followed by targeted mitigation is a strong indicator of organized institutional involvement in the market.
interpretation and tactical insight
The chart outlines a strategic approach to navigating BTC’s current bullish structure. Rather than entering impulsively, the analysis encourages waiting for price to retrace into identified imbalance zones where the probability of sustained movement is higher. Fair value gaps provide a roadmap for understanding where price is likely to react and continue. In this case, if BTC revisits the nearest FVG and holds that level, it sets the stage for continuation toward the 101,000–102,000 zone, in line with the drawn projection. The setup remains aligned with smart money trading methodology, where price is guided by liquidity and imbalance mechanics.
Ultimate Guide to Master CISDCISD stands for Consolidation, Inducement, Stop Hunt, Displacement. It’s a simple, repeatable structure that shows how smart money sets up traps in the market to grab liquidity and then make a clean move in the opposite direction.
If you’re serious about trading the ICT style, this is one of the most useful frameworks to learn. It helps you avoid chasing bad breakouts and teaches you to wait for real setups that come after stop hunts and proper market structure shifts.
But there’s one rule that’s non-negotiable — a CISD setup is only valid after a liquidity sweep. If the market hasn’t taken out a clear high or low where stops are sitting, then the rest of the model doesn’t mean anything. No sweep, no trade.
1. Start With the Liquidity Sweep
Everything begins with the liquidity grab. If price hasn’t taken out a high or low where stops are stacked, you should walk away from the setup. Don’t try to front-run a move before smart money has done its job.
The liquidity sweep is what gives the rest of the move power. That’s when price runs through obvious levels, swing highs, swing lows, the Asian range, New York session highs or lows and hits stop losses. Those stops give smart money fuel to enter in the opposite direction.
When you’re watching the market, ask yourself this:
"Who just got stopped out?"
If you can’t answer that, then it’s not a sweep. And if it’s not a sweep, it’s not a CISD.
2. Consolidation — Where Liquidity Builds
This is the first part of the structure. Price starts to move sideways in a tight range, usually during Asian session or during parts of London where volume is low. It can last for hours or even across sessions.
The key here is to understand what’s happening. Traders are placing buys above the highs and sells below the lows. Liquidity is building on both sides. It’s a trap being set. Retail traders are expecting a breakout, but smart money is waiting to use that breakout to their advantage.
Your job in this phase is to identify the range and mark out the highs and lows. That’s where stops will be sitting. You’re not looking to trade during this phase. You’re watching and planning
3. Inducement (sweep)— Fake Break to Trap Traders
After the range is set, price gives a small push out of the range just enough to get people to commit. This is the inducement. It’s the bait.
Let’s say the range high is being tested. Price breaks just above it, traders think it’s a breakout, and they go long. Maybe it holds for a couple of minutes, even gives a small push in their favor. But then it rolls over. That’s the trap. Now those traders are caught, and their stops are sitting below.
Sometimes the inducement comes before the real sweep. Other times, the inducement is the sweep. What matters is that traders have been lured into bad positions and their stops are exposed.
As a trader, your job is not to take the bait. Watch how price reacts to these fake moves. Often, they come with weak volume or are followed by an immediate sharp reversal.
4. Stop Hunt — The Sweep That Validates the Setup
This is where the real move starts to form. Price aggressively runs through the level that holds liquidity, usually below the low or above the high you marked earlier.
This is when smart money takes out the traders who were induced during the fake move. Their stops get hit, and that gives institutions the volume they need to get into the opposite side.
You should be actively watching for a reaction here. Do you see rejection? Does the candle close with a strong wick? Are there signs of absorption or order flow flipping?
This is your validation point. Once price sweeps liquidity and starts to reject the level, that’s your cue to get ready for the next part, the actual shift.
5. Displacement — The Real Move Begins
Once the sweep happens, price doesn’t just drift, it snaps back hard. This is called displacement.
Displacement is a sharp, clean move in the opposite direction of the stop hunt. This is when market structure breaks, momentum shifts, and a fair value gap usually forms.
This is your confirmation that the setup is live. The sweep happened, smart money entered, and now the market is moving with intent.
You don’t want to chase the displacement candle itself. Instead, wait for the retrace. Look for price to come back into the fair value gap or an order block left behind by the impulse. That’s your entry point.
Make sure:
Structure is broken in your direction
The move away is impulsive, not choppy
You’re not forcing an entry on a weak pullback
This is the only part of CISD where you actually take the trade. Everything else is just setup.
How to Manage Risk and Entries
Once you’ve got a valid setup, here’s how to manage it:
Entry: Enter on the CISD or wait for the pullback into the fair value gap or order block. Enter on the reaction or confirmation.
Stop Loss: Place it just past the low or high that got swept. If you’re long, your stop goes below the stop hunt candle. If you’re short, it goes above.
Take Profit: Target the next liquidity level. That could be the other side of the range, a swing high or low, or an inefficiency in price.
You can scale out if price approaches a session high or low, or hold for a full range expansion depending on the session.
Final Thoughts
The CISD model works because it’s built on how the market actually moves, not indicators, not random patterns, but liquidity.
Don’t jump in early. Don’t guess. Wait for the sweep. Wait for the displacement. That’s where the edge is.
Once you get used to watching this play out in real time, you’ll start to see it everywhere. It’s in Forex, crypto, indices, any market that runs on liquidity.
Stick to the rules. Let the model do its job. And remember: no sweep, no setup!
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-7 : Post FOMC UpdateThis video highlights a number of factors why I believe the markets are stalling and are likely to REVERT back to the 515-525 area on the SPY.
Without any real economic driving component, while tariffs and other concerns continue to play out, I believe the SPY will continue to search for Ultimate Support over the next 5-7+ months, then move into an upward reversion phase.
Part of what I'm trying to teach my followers is to try to understand how price operates in structures and phases.
Price only does two things: TRENDS or FLAGS
Within those phases, price structures (EPP, Cradle, and others) take over to determine how and why price may or may not attempt to make certain price moves.
Additionally, without any bias, or economic impetus (driver), price tends to REVERT.
In this video, I show you how to use the STDDEV channels to identify possible target areas for the different phases of market trend.
Ultimately, IMO, trading is about being able to see the price structure, phases, and path of least resistance (in terms of bias/expectations). This helps us position for the highest probability outcome (and hopefully for successful trades).
Remember, all of these techniques can be applied to intra-day charts the same way I'm applying them to Daily and Weekly charts.
Remember, price only does two things: TREND or FLAG.
Once you understand that, applying price structures/phases to price while it TRENDS or FLAGS helps you to gain a keen understanding of where price may target/move in the immediate future.
Hope this helps.
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EURUSD Bearish Structure Forming Amid Dollar UncertaintyEURUSD appears to be carving out a series of lower highs, showing potential signs of distribution. With price compressing inside a symmetrical triangle following multiple failed breakout attempts, the stage could be set for a bearish breakdown. This comes as U.S. inflation and Fed policy hold the spotlight and the euro faces political and structural crosswinds.
📉 Technical Breakdown (4H Chart)
Triple Top / Head & Shoulders Variant Forming:
Price action has traced a rounded top sequence, forming a triple top or complex head and shoulders structure.
Each rally attempt has been followed by steeper declines and faster recoveries—typical of a topping process.
Triangle Contraction Zone:
Current price is consolidating into a symmetrical triangle, which is often a continuation pattern.
Bearish breakout is expected if support around 1.1330–1.1320 fails.
Key Bearish Targets:
TP1: 1.1090 – former resistance turned support.
TP2: 1.0890 – April breakout base and key structure low.
Trade Setup (as per chart):
Sell Entry Zone: Break and retest of 1.1320–1.1300.
Stop Loss: Above 1.1527 (supply zone high).
Targets:
TP1: 1.1090
TP2: 1.0890
🌐 Macro Context
USD Side:
Fed is holding rates steady amid rising inflation fears triggered by tariffs
Tariff shocks are already pushing prices up, while growth slows—a tough environment for the Fed.
Dollar could strengthen if market sentiment shifts risk-off.
Euro Side:
Former EU Commissioner Gentiloni calls for unified borrowing to boost the euro’s global role, as U.S. stability is questioned
Political uncertainty around German leadership transitions may also weigh on the euro short term.
✅ Conclusion
EURUSD is trading at the apex of a tightening triangle pattern following a distribution structure. With a clean break of 1.1320 support, expect increased volatility and bearish momentum toward 1.1090 and 1.0890.
Bitcoin – Price Hits $100K, Will It Hold or Dive Into Demand?Bitcoin has officially reached the long-anticipated $100,000 mark, sweeping the psychological round number and clearing out a major pool of liquidity sitting just above it. This move came off the back of a sharp and impulsive leg, likely fueled by both spot demand and late-stage FOMO-driven breakout longs. At the same time, short liquidations added fuel to the upside, pushing price rapidly through thin areas on the volume profile. This type of vertical movement typically doesn’t last long without some form of corrective structure, and now that the $100K level has been tagged and liquidity taken, we can reasonably expect a period of cooling off, either through time-based consolidation or a more price-based retracement.
Consolidation Structure
The move up left behind two significant fair value gaps (FVGs) on the 4H chart. The first sits just beneath current price and represents the immediate imbalance created by the impulsive breakout candle. This is the shallowest inefficiency and would be the first area to watch for a potential short-term reaction. The second FVG lies deeper and overlaps perfectly with the 0.618 to 0.65 Fibonacci retracement zone, the golden pocket. This deeper zone is structurally more important, not only because it aligns with the golden pocket ratio but also due to its proximity to the high-volume node clearly visible on the Volume Profile (VRVP). Below this zone, there’s a strong base of support built from the previous consolidation area, making it a prime candidate for a bounce if tested.
Bullish/Bearish Scenarios
Scenario 1: In the bullish continuation case, Bitcoin retraces slightly to fill the shallow FVG just beneath $99K. A clean reaction there, especially if backed by strong volume and low timeframe bullish structure, could lead to a resumption of the trend with a fresh leg upward. This scenario assumes that the current breakout is being respected by the market and that participants are eager to front-run deeper entries. If this plays out, we’d expect a relatively quick reclaim of $100K, potentially building a new higher-low formation before continuing into uncharted territory above $102K.
Scenario 2: The second and more complex scenario involves a deeper retracement toward the lower FVG and golden pocket, between roughly $96.2K and $95.2K. This would constitute a cleaner reset of the recent move and allow the market to shake out weak longs who entered during the euphoric breakout. It also opens the door for a possible inducement setup, drawing in early sellers only to reverse at a key confluence zone. The golden pocket, combined with the high-volume node just below, makes this a high-probability demand zone. If we see bullish SFPs, displacement candles, or lower timeframe market structure shifts from there, it would be a strong long entry zone for a reattempt at the highs.
Price Target and Expectations
If Scenario 1 plays out, we can expect price to reclaim the $100K level fairly quickly, with upside potential toward $102K to $103K in the near term. The risk here is limited, given the shallowness of the retracement, but continuation would likely be more gradual and grindy due to the lack of a proper reset. If Scenario 2 plays out, the bounce from the golden pocket could produce a much healthier structure for further upside, and in that case, targets beyond $104K become more viable. The lower retracement would offer a better R/R and allow the market to rebuild momentum organically.
Current Stance
Right now, we remain bullish on the higher timeframes, but recognize the need for a local correction. We’re not interested in chasing the breakout blindly, the move has already cleared a major liquidity level and needs to rebalance before any sustainable continuation. We’re watching both FVGs closely. If the first one fills and holds, we’ll look for signs of strength and continuation. But if price breaks deeper, we’ll shift our focus to the golden pocket and bottom FVG as the more attractive long entry. Below that, the VRVP shows thick support, so our bias remains bullish unless we get a confirmed breakdown beneath that base.
Conclusion
Bitcoin has done its job in tagging $100K and clearing the obvious liquidity pool above. What comes next is all about how the market digests that move. Either we get a shallow retracement into the first imbalance and continue higher from there, or we go deeper into the golden pocket and establish a more meaningful base. Both scenarios still lean bullish, the key is patience and waiting for the right structure to develop. There’s no need to force entries here. Let price come to your levels, wait for confirmation, and take the trade when the setup aligns.
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US100 - Liquidity sweep likely before bullish continuationFollowing a significant upward move last week, the US100 (Nasdaq 100 index) has entered a period of consolidation, currently exhibiting a ranging structure characterized by lower highs and relatively equal lows. This pattern typically suggests a tightening market where bullish momentum is cooling but not yet decisively reversed.
The presence of equal lows is particularly notable from a liquidity perspective. In retail trading behavior, such levels often attract a high concentration of stop-loss orders placed just below the support zone. Market participants perceive these lows as a reliable level of support, but in doing so, they inadvertently create a pocket of liquidity just beneath them.
Institutional players and market makers are well aware of these dynamics. It's common in such scenarios to witness what is known as a liquidity sweep, a short-term move below support levels to trigger stop-losses, fill large buy orders, and shake out weaker hands before the market resumes its dominant trend.
Given the current context, there's a high probability that we may see a downside sweep targeting the liquidity resting beneath the equal lows. This move would likely be swift and sharp, clearing out stop orders before a potential bullish reversal unfolds. If confirmed, such a move could mark the end of the current range and initiate a new impulsive leg higher in the broader uptrend.
Traders should watch for signs of price rejection or bullish divergence following the sweep as potential confirmation of this scenario. Until then, it’s prudent to remain patient and avoid getting trapped in the chop, especially near well-watched support zones.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-8 : Carryover PatternToday's Pattern is a Carryover pattern in Carryover mode.
After yesterday's FOMC news (unchanged), the markets are seeking a bit of direction. Bitcoin rallied and INVALIDATED a EPP Flagging pattern. In my opinion this suggests the SPY/QQQ may attempt to move a bit higher after the Fed decision.
Although, I still believe the global markets are reacting to uncertainty and tariff news within a very broad consolidation range. So, I'm cautious of trying to go ALL-IN on any long trades at the moment.
Until we break clear of the consolidation range, price could break strongly to the downside on news or geopolitical content. In reality, any type of big news could prompt a downward price move within an uptrend or a consolidation range.
It just seems as though the current global market environment is fraught with uncertainty - so I continue to stay cautious.
Gold and Silver pulled downward overnight. But I still believe metals will continue to rally - attempting to hedge against global risks.
With Bitcoin rallying a bit higher (still in consolidation) - let's see how the next few days play out.
I would be surprised if BTCUSD and the SPY rallied to new highs before the end of May. VERY SURPRISED given the status of the global markets.
But, the markets can stay completely irrational much longer than I can try to fight them. So we have to move WITH the markets - not against them.
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Bitcoin - Bulls vs Bears: 88k or 100k?Bitcoin has broken through the 4H imbalance zone that also acted as an old resistance area. The break came through a clear displacement candle, which showed strong intent from the market. That same move left behind a new gap just under the previous resistance. Although price already retested that area once, it didn’t fully fill the gap, so we could see one more retest to complete the 50% line before the market chooses direction.
Consolidation Structure
The range before the breakout was clean, with multiple rejections from the resistance zone. That zone was front-run several times, then finally broken with conviction. Now, price is hovering just under that broken level, and the new gap created by the displacement candle is still fresh and technically unfilled.
Below current price, there’s a large inefficiency sitting between 88.2k and 90k. This zone stands out because it’s not only a clean 4H imbalance, but it also aligns with the golden pocket retracement from the last major leg up. That type of confluence usually attracts liquidity, especially if price gets rejected from the gap above and starts moving lower.
Bullish/Bearish Scenarios
The bullish scenario would play out if price manages to reclaim the gap zone, pushes back above the resistance cleanly, and treats the gap as support. That would be a classic structure flip, where the previous resistance becomes a new base, and the gap gets inverted into a continuation zone. If we see that, the next upside targets would sit around the 96k to 97k area, where more liquidity is likely resting.
On the other hand, if price moves into the gap and gets rejected again, that confirms sellers are still active at that level. In that case, I’d expect the market to push down and start filling the inefficiencies below. The 88.2k to 90k area becomes the primary draw. It’s packed with confluence from the 4H imbalance and the golden pocket, and it also lines up with previous demand zones. If price reaches into that area, it could trigger a strong reaction and potentially form the next higher low.
Price Target and Expectations
If we see rejection from the current gap, the target shifts to the 88.2k to 90k zone. That’s where I’ll be watching for bullish signs, since it’s the type of level where buyers often step in. A clean reaction there could be the start of a new leg higher. But if the market doesn’t get that low, and instead pushes up through the resistance, then the bullish breakout scenario is active, and we’d be aiming higher toward the 96k range or even the 100k.
Current Stance
Right now, I’m in reactive mode. The trade will depend on what happens at the gap zone. If we get another rejection from it, I’ll look for a move into the golden pocket below. If we reclaim the gap and break resistance, I’ll be looking to enter on confirmation of the flip. No trade from the middle, only once price gives clear direction from either key level.
Conclusion
This is a clean two-scenario setup. Either price fills the remaining gap and flips resistance, triggering the bullish continuation, or we reject from that area again and drop into the 88.2k to 90k range for a deeper liquidity grab. Both are valid, and both offer high-probability trades once price confirms the path.
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BTC - Will history repeat itself?In this description, I will compare the current price action of BTC with the market behavior seen in 2021. Both cycles share notable similarities in their structure.
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2021 bullmarket
During the 2021 bull market, BTC displayed classic topping price action. The chart showed slightly higher highs and higher lows, eventually forming a bearish Head & Shoulders pattern. This signaled a shift in momentum, and BTC subsequently broke down, confirming the bearish outlook.
At the lows later in 2021, Bitcoin’s price action became more corrective, with slightly lower lows and lower highs-often an early indication of a potential trend reversal. That reversal materialized as BTC launched into a strong impulse move to the upside, rallying all the way to the key Golden Pocket Fibonacci level before experiencing a modest retracement.
Following this healthy pullback, BTC gathered enough strength to break through resistance and surge to a new all-time high (ATH), which ultimately marked the peak of that bull cycle.
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This bullmarket
In the current bull market, BTC formed a classic double top pattern, echoing similar setups from previous cycles. After reaching highs near $110k BTC experienced a significant correction, dropping to around $74k. At this level, the price action turned corrective, with a series of slightly lower lows and lower highs-reminiscent of the consolidation seen at the 2021 market bottom.
During this consolidation, BTC established three notable lows, forming a potential base for a reversal. Following this corrective phase, BTC surged upward in a strong impulse move, reaching the critical Golden Pocket-the 61.8% to 65% Fibonacci retracement zone, which is widely regarded as a key area for potential reversals or continuation of trends.
Currently, BTC is consolidating near this Golden Pocket. Traders are watching closely to see if the price will face rejection here, as it did in 2021, or if it can break above and sustain a new uptrend. The outcome at this level will likely determine whether the next major move is a continuation to new highs or a deeper retracement.
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Conclusion
When comparing the corrections following the 2021 and 2025 peaks, the similarities are striking. Both cycles feature a bottom formed through a similar pattern, followed by a strong move up to the Golden Pocket Fibonacci level. The key question now is whether BTC will experience another corrective pullback before making a renewed attempt at the all-time high, or if it will break through resistance and continue its upward momentum. Only time will tell which path the market will choose.
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XAU/USD: Gold Regains Strength After Pullback – New Highs Ahead?By analyzing the gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that yesterday, as expected, gold surged above $3400, reaching as high as $3439 before facing strong selling pressure, dropping sharply to $3359.
Currently, gold is trading around $3385, and if the price can hold above $3366, we may expect further bullish momentum. I believe gold is setting up for another move above $3400, potentially aiming to break into new highs once again.
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ETH - Is $3,000 next?Today marked a significant milestone for Ethereum as it successfully rolled out its much-anticipated Pectra upgrade. The update, which introduces a number of technical enhancements aimed at improving scalability, security, and developer experience, has already had a noticeable impact on market sentiment. In the hours following the upgrade, Ethereum (ETH) surged more than 13%, breaking through key resistance levels and igniting fresh bullish momentum.
From a technical standpoint, ETH is currently breaking out of a descending wedge pattern, a structure often seen as a bullish reversal signal. The price action has decisively pushed through the wedge’s upper boundary, signaling a potential end to the recent downtrend. Additionally, ETH is now testing a significant resistance zone, often referred to as the "resistance box," which has historically served as a key battleground between bulls and bears.
Should Ethereum manage to secure a clean breakout above this resistance area with strong volume. The next major upside target lies around the $3,000 level, a psychologically and technically important price point. This move could mark the beginning of a larger bullish cycle if market conditions remain favorable and momentum continues to build.
With the broader crypto market showing signs of recovery and Ethereum's fundamentals strengthening post-upgrade, traders and investors alike will be closely watching to see whether ETH can sustain its breakout and confirm this bullish trend.
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BTC Maintains Strategic Bullish Structure New ATH Still insightHello Traders and Crypto Enthusiasts! 👋
I'm excited to share a detailed analysis of Bitcoin (BTC) on its ongoing bullish structure, maintaining higher highs and higher lows. This chart captures the key support zones, demand areas, and chart patterns that underpin our optimistic outlook. Let’s dive deep into the technical narrative.
Bitcoin continues to respect a clearly defined bullish market structure on the weekly timeframe. The price action has persistently printed higher highs and higher lows, maintaining upward momentum within a dominant ascending channel. This behavior reinforces the ongoing bullish narrative, as buyers have repeatedly stepped in at logical demand zones to defend structure.
The immediate demand zone between $71,300 and $78,300 has acted as a critical launchpad for price. As long as this region holds on a weekly closing basis, the probability of continuation remains elevated.
A clean break above the $109,588 resistance , marking the previous high—would likely act as a technical trigger for further upside acceleration, with the projected price target standing at $140,998. This level is derived from a measured move extension based on prior impulsive legs within the channel, reflecting a symmetrical and organic expansion of market structure. This almost projected same as one of our previous analysis.
Key support remains layered across multiple zones. The internal demand zone around $48,800 to $54,500 represents a structural pivot level. Below that, the extreme support zone near $27,900 and the foundational base zone between $15,500 and $17,765 provide deep support from earlier cycle lows. These levels are unlikely to be revisited unless a significant macro reversal occurs, something not currently evidenced in the chart.
The preservation of trendline support, coupled with repeated bullish rejections from higher lows, confirms that market psychology remains tilted in favor of the bulls. Sellers have yet to invalidate any critical higher low, indicating the uptrend is not only intact but maturing toward another expansion phase with potential ending diagonal in view.
With the current projection and structural alignment, the bullish thesis remains valid as long as Bitcoin sustains weekly closes above the $78,300 zone. A failure to hold that level could lead to a re-evaluation of this outlook. Until then, structure governs sentiment and right now, the structure is still decisively bullish.
Stay disciplined, manage your risk, and watch for confirmation signals as Bitcoin continues its upward journey. 🚀
Let's keep the discussion alive — share your thoughts, setups, and predictions below!
BITCOIN Monthly RSI Heatmap reveals ultimate Cycle Sell Zone!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has resumed the long-term bullish trend and as of the writing of this analysis, it is about to test the $100k key psychological level. Now that the Bull Cycle is entering its final stage (most likely for the next 6 months at most), it is time to see potential exit levels as close to the expected Top as possible.
There is no better long-term indicator to assist us on this than the 1M RSI, which historically offers a great level to Sell when it enters the 0.786 - 1.0 Fibonacci range of its Channel Down. Currently it is still considerably distanced from that Zone, so the upside potential despite the recent break-out, is huge.
The Sine Waves indicate that in symmetrical terms, the Cycle Top should be priced around November 2025 (previous ones on November 2021, December 2017, December 2013). The closer the 1M RSI is to this date when it enters the 0.786 - 1.0 Fib Zone, the better as the higher the price will most likely be.
Based on this Cycle's Channel Up (blue), a fair Cycle Top range would be $150k - $200k. Would you agree? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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XAU/USD - Fed warns of Economic UncertaintyThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bullish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 3473
2nd Resistance – 3519
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GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Once again our trading idea delivers the goods!!!
We got our target yesterday at 3382 and then followed with the cross and lock above 3382 leaving 3428 open.
- This played out perfectly with 3428 getting hit. No further cross and lock above 3428 confirmed the perfect rejection into the lower weighted Goldturn. The Goldturn gave the bounces, for 20 to 40 pips, just like we always state. This was once again a double bubble move for us!!
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3260 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3260 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3308 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3308 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3340 -DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3340 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3382 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3382 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3428 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3478
BEARISH TARGETS
3217
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3217 WILL OPEN THE BEARISH TARGETS
3174
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3174 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE
3126
3078
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3078 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3034 - 2979
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GBPCHF in consolidation before fallingThe currency pair is approaching the range resistance. Today is the news from FOMC, a false breakout and a fall is possible, as the dollar is expected to rise, which in turn may negatively affect the pair
Scenario: There is a possibility that the resistance may hold if the Fed becomes more hawkish, which could strengthen the dollar. Against this background, the currency pairs will lose their strength
A false break of the range resistance or 1.1707 could trigger a reversal and fall to the base of the range
Bitcoin Hits PRZ — Reversal or Breakout?As I expected in my previous idea , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise from the Support zone($95,760-$95,200) . One of the news that pumped Bitcoin was " Arizona Becomes Second U.S. State to Adopt Bitcoin for State Treasury "
Bitcoin is trading in the Resistance zone($100,200-$97,700) and near the upper lines of the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern , Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Also, we can see a Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks.
From an Elliott wave theory , it seems we should wait for corrective waves because the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($100,888-$99,826) is very important and I DO NOT expect it to be broken by a single attack .
Another point we can pay attention to is the existence of two small CME Gaps , the first CME Gap($98,430-$98,380) is likely to be filled.
I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $98,100 in the coming hours, and if the Support zone($97,900-$97,240 ) is broken, we should expect further declines, so I will label this idea as ''Short' '.
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $98,500-$97,514
Note: If Bitcoin can break the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) with the good volume, we can expect a new All-Time High(ATH).
Do you think Bitcoin is on track for a new All-Time High(ATH)?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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DOTUSDT: $10 Targeting, Price is at critical level! Hey there everyone
The pair is at a pivotal point where we might see a surge in bullish activity. Remember how price has acted in the past? Well, we can expect something similar, leading to a sudden jump to $10. It’s a fantastic opportunity, but it also comes with a fair bit of risk.
Wishing you all the best and happy trading! 😊
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Bitcoin @$100,000 | Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick (Session 6)Good morning my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, what a wonderful day.
Bitcoin is now on its fifth consecutive green week and challenging $100,000 as resistance today.
The last barrier was a price range between $94,000 and $98,000. This barrier is now gone. Bitcoin continues to move higher day by day yet trading volume is still low. What does this means? It means that we are yet to experience the real bull market wave, bullish momentum will only grow and reach astronomical proportions late this month.
We are going up.
As Bitcoin hits $100,000 for the first time after the correction phase, the Altcoins market is sure to follow and we will see an explosion of projects breaking up and reaching new heights. Timing is still great for many pairs. Not early, but definitely not late.
Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick (Session 6)
Leave a comment with your favorite Altcoin trading pair I will do a full analysis for you. I will switch between publishing in my profile and answering in the comments section.
You have to visit @MasterAnanda to find your analysis when I reply to you as new publications cannot be shared in the comments.
I will do mainly one pair per person/username/supporter.
The Altcoins are hot now... It is not too late, we still have to experience the entire 2025 bull market bullish cycle and bull run phase. The bull market might extend beyond 2025 but the main date for a new All-Time High is around November. Can be December 2025 just as it can be October, there will be strong variations between projects and pairs.
Definitely, many projects will continue growing into 2026. Overall, the next bear market should very small in duration, and then once more maximum growth. The bear market this time around will look like a simply correction and there won't be 2-3 years of consolidation, not anymore. This time around, we are going to see real-true long-term growth. An entire decade of growth.
Leave a comment to show your support —boost and follow!
Namaste.
DOLLAR INDEX (#DXY): Classic Trend-Following PatternI spotted a nice bearish pattern on Dollar Index chart on a daily timeframe.
The price formed a bearish flag pattern.
Trading in a bearish trend, the violation of a support of the flag is a strong
trend-following signal.
We can expect a movement down to 98.95
XUA/USD) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis chart for Gold Spot (XAUUSD) on the 4-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key ideas behind the analysis:
1. Trend and Structure:
The overall trend shows a bullish move followed by a correction and now a potential continuation upward.
A bullish breakout from a descending trendline suggests a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish.
2. Key Zones:
Order Block / Buying Zone (~3,280-3,310): A demand area where price is expected to find support and potentially bounce higher.
Support Level (~3,320-3,360): Price is currently above this level, suggesting buyers are in control.
Resistance Level (~3,440-3,495): Marked as a potential short-term ceiling; a breakout above this level may signal strong bullish continuation.
Target Point (~3,494): This is the projected take-profit level for a bullish move.
3. RSI Indicator:
RSI is around 63–64, close to overbought territory but not yet extreme. This suggests moderate bullish momentum without signs of immediate reversal.
4. Projected Move:
The chart outlines a possible retracement to the support or order block zone, followed by a bounce and a push toward the resistance level and target.
Mr SMC Trading point
Strategy Implication:
Buy on pullback to the support or order block zone.
Stop-loss could be placed below the order block (~3,280).
Take-profit around the target zone (~3,494).
pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)