Get started

Beyond Technical Analysis

The Day AheadTuesday, May 6 – Financial Trading Summary & Relevance Key Data Releases: US March Trade Balance – Important for assessing the strength of US exports vs. imports. A larger deficit may weigh on USD; narrower gap may support it. China April Caixin Services PMI – Insight into China's private service sector. Stronger data could lift global risk sentiment and commodity-linked currencies (e.g., AUD). UK April Data: Official Reserves Changes – Minimal short-term trading impact. New Car Registrations – Reflects consumer sentiment and demand; relevant for UK auto stocks and GBP sensitivity. France March Industrial Production – A leading gauge for Eurozone growth; stronger output may support EUR. Italy April Services PMI – Adds to Eurozone PMI sentiment; market-moving for EUR if deviating significantly. Eurozone March PPI – Inflation gauge; higher-than-expected may raise ECB hawkishness bets, boosting EUR and yields. Canada March Trade Balance – Important for CAD traders; strong trade could support CAD. Major Earnings Releases (market movers): Tech & Growth Focus: Palantir (PLTR) – Government & AI analytics focus; market keen on forward guidance and AI revenues. AMD (AMD) – Key semiconductor player; crucial for tech sentiment, especially in AI chip space. Arista Networks (ANET) – Cloud and networking performance gives insights into broader tech infra spending. Datadog, Astera Labs – Watch for cloud and AI-related growth signals. Consumer & Travel: Marriott (MAR) – Key for travel demand trends. Zoetis – Animal health; solid defensive sector performer. Coupang – Insight into Asian e-commerce and consumer health. Autos & Industrials: Ferrari, Rivian – Luxury vs. EV sentiment; Rivian earnings especially key for EV sector momentum. Vestas – Wind energy indicator; watch for green transition spending trends. Financial & Healthcare: Intesa Sanpaolo – Italy’s largest bank; insight into Eurozone financials. IQVIA, Fidelity – Relevant for healthcare services and asset management outlook. Bond Market: US 10-Year Note Auction – Closely watched for investor demand amid shifting Fed rate expectations. Weak auction = higher yields = USD strength. Trading Relevance Summary: FX: EUR, GBP, CAD and USD sensitive to economic prints (trade, PMIs, inflation). Equities: Focus on tech (AMD, Palantir, Datadog), EVs (Rivian), and industrials (Ferrari, Vestas). Bonds: 10-yr auction could set tone for yields. Commodities: China services PMI may influence oil and metals via demand expectations. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EURUSD EURUSD presents another buy opportunity, and I've just activated the trade. I wanted to share it with you as well. This trade has three different Take Profit levels, which are: 1.13455 / 1.13563 / 1.13786 However, I personally plan to close the trade at 1.13455 in order to stick to my game plan. This will be the last trade of the day for me. 🔍 Criteria: ✔️ Timeframe: 15M ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50 / 1:2.50 / 1:4.50 ✔️ Trade Direction: Buy ✔️ Entry Price: 1.13290 ✔️ Take Profit: 1.13455 ✔️ Stop Loss: 1.13180 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes. 📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies: 💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses.
Long
by Nurlan_PT
Taming the Crypto Rollercoaster: How to Stay Sane in a Volatile Hey traders, it’s Adnan Ahdan Khan here, and let’s talk about that wild crypto ride we’re all on! Today, May 6, 2025, Bitcoin’s hovering around $95,600 after a sharp drop from $97,895, and altcoins are feeling the heat too. I remember my first crypto dip – my stomach churned watching my portfolio shrink. Sound familiar? In this crazy 2025 market, with stablecoins booming past $232 billion and meme coins swinging, volatility is the name of the game. But here’s the secret: mastering your trading psychology can turn chaos into opportunity. Let’s dive into three ways to stay calm and trade smart, no matter how wild the charts get.Accept Volatility as Your Trading Buddy Crypto’s like a rollercoaster – thrilling, but it can make your head spin. Bitcoin’s recent correction, driven by macroeconomic jitters like U.S. tariffs, reminds us that volatility is baked into this market. I used to panic at every 5% drop, but here’s what I learned: volatility isn’t the enemy; it’s the fuel for profits. In 2025, with institutional money flowing into Bitcoin ETFs and altcoins like Solana consolidating, these swings create entry points. The key? Accept that prices will move. Instead of stressing, focus on the bigger trend. Bitcoin’s still up 12.82% over the last week despite today’s dip. Altcoins, though lagging, are poised for a breakout if Bitcoin clears $100,000. Train your mind to see red candles as opportunities, not disasters. A trick I use? Zoom out on the chart to a weekly view – it puts daily noise in perspective and keeps me grounded.Stick to Your Plan Like Glue Let’s be real – when Bitcoin tanked to $94,200 this week, my first instinct was to sell everything. But that’s where a trading plan saves you. I’ve burned myself chasing dips without a strategy, and I bet you have too. A solid plan is your anchor in 2025’s stormy market, where stablecoin inflows signal growing demand and altcoins like Cardano hover near key resistance. Before every trade, I ask: What’s my entry? My stop-loss? My profit target? For example, during last month’s altcoin dip, I bought Ethereum at $3,400 with a 5% stop-loss and a $3,720 target. It hit, and I was out with a smile. Write your plan down – on paper, not just in your head. It’s like a contract with yourself. And don’t tweak it mid-trade; that’s how emotions creep in. With Bitcoin eyeing $100,000 and altcoins like XRP showing demand, a disciplined plan keeps you from FOMO buys or panic sells, letting you ride the volatility with confidence.Protect Your Mental Game Trading crypto in 2025, with its $1.78 trillion market cap and 24/7 price swings, is a mental marathon. I’ve had nights glued to Binance, refreshing Bitcoin’s chart like a zombie. It’s draining. To stay sharp, I protect my headspace. First, I set price alerts on Binance for key levels – like $94,700 support or $97,000 resistance – and step away. This week’s dip showed me: staring at candles doesn’t change them. Second, I journal every trade. Writing why I entered and how I felt (nervous? greedy?) helps me spot emotional traps. Finally, I carve out non-trading time. A quick walk or 10-minute meditation before checking altcoin charts keeps me calm. With stablecoins like USDC and Tether driving liquidity and meme coins like Dogecoin riding community hype, the market’s noise is loud. Protect your mind, and you’ll make clearer calls – whether it’s holding Bitcoin through a correction or catching the next altcoin breakout.Conclusion Volatility’s here to stay, but you’ve got this, traders! By embracing the swings, sticking to a rock-solid plan, and guarding your mental health, you can thrive in 2025’s crypto jungle. Bitcoin’s dips and altcoin wobbles are just part of the ride – like that first scary drop I survived. With stablecoins surging and the market buzzing, now’s the time to sharpen your psychology. What’s your go-to trick for staying cool when the charts go wild? Drop it in the comments – let’s learn from each other! Until tomorrow, keep calm and trade on! – Adnan Ahdan Khan #FOMCMeeting #USHouseMarketStructureDraft CRYPTOCAP:BTC
by AdnanAhdan9
Gold bullish crossing returns to ATHGold Hits All-Time Highs: A Safe Haven Amid Uncertainty and ETF Opportunities By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades Gold prices have reached all-time highs near $3,300 per ounce, driven by a surge in global risk aversion. Trade tensions between the U.S. and China, coupled with Nvidia’s recent warning of a potential $5.5 billion earnings loss due to export restrictions, have created a highly uncertain environment for markets. The market reaction was immediate: investors shifted toward safe-haven assets such as gold and the Japanese yen. This was further supported by a weakened U.S. dollar and growing skepticism toward U.S. Treasury bonds—factors that enhance the appeal of the precious metal. In this context, spot gold exceeded $3,283, while June futures approached $3,300 per ounce, marking historic milestones. Why Is Gold Rising? Gold serves as a hedge against geopolitical risk, inflation, and dollar weakness. The escalation in tariffs between the U.S. and China—with rates reaching as high as 145%—and fears of a global economic slowdown reinforce risk perceptions and push investors toward non-yielding, stable assets like gold. ETFs Benefiting from the Gold Rally For investors who prefer exposure to gold through regulated financial instruments, ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds) offer an efficient and liquid option. The most notable beneficiaries include: • SPDR Gold Shares (GLD): the world’s largest gold ETF, which directly tracks the price of physical gold. • iShares Gold Trust (IAU): a similar alternative to GLD, with a lower cost structure. • VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX): invests in gold mining companies, which typically magnify gold price movements. • VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ): focused on smaller mining firms with higher growth potential but greater volatility. Technical Analysis Currently, the support zone from the last upward move around $3,140.30 is holding. A new bullish leg appears to be forming at $3,214.83, which has propelled gold higher since the market opened, pushing the metal toward $3,378.45. The current control zone lies in the mid-range around $3,304. The RSI is in heavily overbought territory at 67.29%. A bullish crossover has occurred, with the 50-period moving average crossing above the 100-period, indicating that this price expansion could soon test higher levels again. Conclusion The current environment suggests that gold will remain a key asset as long as commercial and technological uncertainty persists between major global powers. Whether through direct investment in the metal or via specialized ETFs, investors have multiple avenues to capitalize on this historic moment for gold. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:GOLD
by ActivTrades
GBP Falls Ahead of Fed and BOE MeetingsSterling fell 0.24% to $1.3265 on Tuesday as the U.S. dollar firmed ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision, with rates expected to remain unchanged. While the dollar recovered slightly, doubts over its safe-haven appeal and Trump’s tariff stance persist. Markets also await the Bank of England’s meeting, where a 25 bps rate cut is expected. Dovish signals or dollar softness may support GBP/USD. If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3430, the next resistance levels are 1.3500 and 1.3550. Support levels are at 1.3200, followed by 1.3050 and 1.2960.
by ChartMage
Bearish Shark Pattern with a Massive Profit FactorThis is how trading should be done . I've just spotted a Bearish Shark Pattern on the Weekly Chart and while it's not perfect, it's still a great trade worth keeping on the radar. The market has been hovering around the entry price for weeks, which tells me something is brewing. The Smart Approach: Now, I’m not entering based on the Weekly Chart alone , that would require a stop-loss that’s way too wide. Instead, I look for an execution timeframe within three levels down. That means the lowest timeframe I’d engage from this setup is the 4-hourly chart . But here’s the twist... The Trade Setup: I spotted another Bearish Shark Pattern on the 15-minute chart. What did I do? > I traded what I saw. Simple as that. It’s not always about having the "perfect" timeframe. It’s about: Seeing a valid setup Knowing your structure And having a clear trade management plan. Key Rule: Once the market reaches a certain level, I’ll shift my stop to entry, securing a risk-free trade. That’s always the goal. Golden Rule in Trading: “Don’t lose your capital.” The Reward: If this trade hits my final target, I’ll walk away with a Profit Factor of 27.45 . That means for every dollar I risk, the projected return is $27.45. Let that sink in. So now the question is - how much of your equity would you be risking on a trade like this? Would you go big, or stick to your usual risk percentage? Let me know in the comments, how would you manage this kind of high-reward setup? Stay sharp and happy trading, everyone! 🚀
Short
by RaynLim
Why Volume Bar Colors Can Mislead You█ The Truth Behind Volume Bars — What Do Green and Red Actually Mean? Most traders learn early on that green volume bars mean bullish activity, and red bars mean bearish pressure. But is it really that simple? What does volume truly reflect, and are we making assumptions that can mislead us? █ What Volume Actually Is Volume represents the number of shares/contracts traded during a specific time interval. Every transaction includes both a buyer and a seller. So, volume itself doesn’t distinguish whether a trade was bullish or bearish. Instead, platforms color volume bars based on price movement: Green: If price closed higher than it opened. Red: If price closed lower than it opened. Some platforms, like TradingView, allow you to color volume based on whether the price closed higher or lower than the previous candle’s close. So YOU, as a trader, have the chance to decide whether to assign volume bars either bullish or bearish! It’s a setting parameter anyone can change. Traders around the globe might look at the same volume bar, but some interpret it as bearish, while others interpret it as bullish. What is the most correct way? █ The Assumption Behind the Color This coloring assumes that: A rising price means buyers were more aggressive (lifting the ask). A falling price means sellers were more aggressive (hitting the bid). This is a proxy — an approximation. It simplifies market pressure into a binary outcome: if price goes up, it's bullish volume; if it goes down, it's bearish. But the market isn't always so binary. However, the assumption is only an approximation of buying vs. selling. In reality, every single trade involves both a buyer and a seller, so volume itself isn’t inherently “buy” or “sell” – what matters is who initiated the trades. As one trading expert explains, talking about “buying volume” vs “selling volume” can be misleading: for every buyer there is a seller, so volume cannot be literally split into purchases and sales​. Instead, what traders really mean by “bullish volume” is that buyers were more aggressive (lifting offers) and drove the price up, whereas “bearish volume” means sellers were more aggressive (hitting bids) and drove the price down​. The colored volume bar is essentially a proxy for which side won the battle during that bar. █ Why This Can Mislead You Price might close higher, not because there were more buyers than sellers (there never are — every trade has both), but because buyers were more urgent. And sometimes price moves due to other forces, like: Short covering. Stop-loss runs. Liquidity vacuums. This means a green bar might not reflect strong demand, just urgency from the other side closing their positions. ⚪ Example: Take the well-known GameStop short squeeze as an example. If you looked only at the volume bars during that rally, you’d see a wall of strong green candles and high volume, which might suggest aggressive bullish buying. However, that interpretation would be misleading. Under the surface, the surge wasn't driven by fresh bullish conviction — it was massive short covering. Traders who were short were forced to buy back shares to cover their positions, which drove prices even higher. The volume was categorized as bullish, but the true intent behind the move had nothing to do with new buying pressure. This demonstrates why relying solely on volume color or candle direction can lead to false conclusions about market sentiment. Does this simple up/down volume labeling truly reflect buying vs. selling pressure? To a degree, yes – it captures the net price outcome, which often corresponds to who was more aggressive. For example, if many buyers are willing to pay higher prices (demand), a bar will likely close up and be colored green, reflecting that buying interest. Conversely, if eager sellers are dumping shares and undercutting each other, price will drop, yielding a red bar that flags selling pressure. Traders often use rising volume on up-moves as confirmation of a bullish trend’s strength, and high volume on down-moves as a warning of distribution, which indeed aligns with traditional analysis​ That said, the method has important limitations and nuances, documented both anecdotally and in research: ⚪ Volume is not one-dimensional: Since every trade has both a buyer and seller, one cannot literally count “buy volume” vs “sell volume” without more information. The green/red coloring is a blunt classification based on price direction, not an actual count of buys or sells. It assumes the price change direction is an adequate proxy for the imbalance of buying vs. selling. This is often true in a broad sense, but it’s not a precise measure of order flow. ⚪ Intrabar Dynamics Are Lost: A single bar’s color only tells the end result of that interval, not the story of what happened during the bar. For instance, a 4-hour candle might be red (down) overall, but it could have contained three hours of rally (buying) followed by a steep selloff in the final hour that erased the gains. The volume bar will be colored red due to the net price drop, even though significant buying occurred earlier in the bar. In other words, a large red bar can mask that there were pockets of bullish activity within – the selling just happened to win out by the close of that period. Without looking at smaller time frames or detailed data, one can’t tell from a single color how the buying/selling tug-of-war progressed within the bar. ⚪ Gap Effects and Criteria Choices: The choice of using open vs. close or previous close can alter the interpretation of volume. As discussed, a day with a big gap can be labeled differently under the two methods. Neither is “right” or “wrong” – they just highlight different perspectives (intraday momentum vs. day-over-day change). Traders should be aware that colored volume bars are an approximation. A green volume bar under one method might turn red under the other method for the same bar. This doesn’t mean volume changed – it means the classification scheme changed. For example, a stock that closes below its open but still higher than yesterday will show a red volume bar by the intraday method but would be considered an “up-volume day” in OBV terms (previous close method). ⚪ No Indication of Magnitude or Commitment: A single color also doesn’t convey how much buying or selling pressure there was, only which side won. Two green volume bars might both be green, but one could represent a modest uptick with tepid buying, whereas another could represent an aggressive buying spree – the color alone doesn’t distinguish this (other than one bar likely being taller if volume was higher). Traders often need to consider volume relative to average (e.g. using volume moving averages or looking for volume spikes) to judge the significance of a move, not just the color. █ Summary The coloring of volume bars is a visual shortcut, not an exact science. It’s a guess based on price direction — useful, but imperfect. Understanding this helps traders avoid reading too much into what a green or red volume bar actually means. ----------------- Disclaimer The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Zeiierman
10
Trump's latest tariff announcement weakens the dollar🔔🔔🔔 USD/CHF news: ➡️ US President Donald Trump on Sunday announced a 100% tax on films produced outside the country. A move to reimpose tariffs by President D. Trump. This move, once again raised concerns about the Trump administration's tariff policy. At the same time, the uncertain context of potential trade agreements between the United States and its trading partners has not been completed, causing the USD bulls to decrease. The US dollar fell again amid trade uncertainty and repositioning before the Fed. Personal opinion: ➡️ The trade agreements are still uncertain and it is positive only at the level of cooling down between the parties involved, causing the USD to decrease. ➡️ Analysis based on important support resistance and Fibonacci levels combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell USD/CHF 0.8256 - 0.8270 ❌SL: 0.8296 | ✅TP: 0.8200 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
3
NZDUSDOur previous trade was on **EURUSD**, and it’s just a few pips away from hitting the **Take Profit** level — even though I shared it only 5 minutes ago! 🙂 From a **correlation perspective**, I’ve identified a similar opportunity on **NZDUSD** in the same direction. That’s why I’ve opened a **Buy** trade on NZDUSD as well. 🔍 **Criteria:** ✔️ Timeframe: 15M ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50 ✔️ Trade Direction: Buy ✔️ Entry Price: 0.59722 ✔️ Take Profit: 0.59923 ✔️ Stop Loss: 0.59588 🔔 **Disclaimer:** This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes. 📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies: 💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses.
Long
by Nurlan_PT
2
The Trader’s Trinity: THE BIG 3 OF TRADING!Everyone talks about strategies, indicators, and secret setups. But if you strip trading down to its core, three pillars separate the winners from the quitters. me @currencynerd , i call them The Big 3: ✅ Mindset/ Psychology ✅ Risk Management ✅ Strategy/ System with edge You master these — you grow. You neglect even one — you stay stuck, or worse, blow up. Let’s dig in. 🧠 1. Mindset: Your Inner Edge Markets aren't just math — they’re emotion, fear, greed, and uncertainty. Successful traders: Stick to plans during volatility Stay calm after wins or losses Manage ego (no "I must be right!" trades) Key mindset habits: Journaling trades (and emotions) Setting realistic expectations Accepting losses as part of the game 🔔 Reminder: The market doesn't owe you anything. Stay humble, stay focused. 💣 2. Risk Management: Your Lifeline Risk management isn't sexy — until you realize it's the reason you survive long enough to succeed. Never risk more than 1–2% of your account on a single trade Use stop-losses religiously Understand position sizing — bigger conviction doesn’t mean "bet the farm" Be comfortable being wrong — because you will be, often Quote to live by: "Amateurs focus on returns. Professionals focus on risk." You don’t need to win every trade. You just need to protect your downside. 📈 3. Strategy: Your Playbook Strategy gets all the attention — but it's only powerful if Mindset and Risk are already in place. Your strategy should answer: When do I enter? When do I exit? How do I manage trades in between? Good strategies: Are tested (backtested and forward tested) Are simple (complexity often kills execution) Fit your timeframe and personality Trend following, mean reversion, breakout trading, scalping — it doesn’t matter. What matters is consistency and execution. 🚀 Why the Big 3 Matter More Than Anything Else Mindset keeps you stable. Risk Management keeps you in the game. Strategy gives you direction. Neglect one and your trading will eventually collapse — no matter how good the other two are. Successful trading isn’t a magic trick. It’s mastering boring basics, executed relentlessly. Final Thoughts from @currencynerd You don’t need to find the Holy Grail. You just need to respect the Big 3: Master your mind. Respect your risk. Stick to your strategy. Most traders are searching for the secret. Elite traders are perfecting the fundamentals. Which group are you going to be in? put together by : @currencynerd courtesy of : @TradingView
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDEducation
by currencynerd
XAUMO DAILY TACTICAL ANALYSIS – XAUUSD – May 6, 2025 DAILY TACTICAL ANALYSIS – XAUUSD – May 6, 2025 (Cairo Time GMT+3) XAUM0 Verdict: 🔵 Bulls: Have the edge. Structure and indicators say "Go." But they must show volume strength at NY Open or get trapped. 🔴 Bears: Will get one shot at Red Zone (3,387+). If price gets rejected there with RVOL spike and reversal candle → ride the short wave back to 3,355. ⏳Time Bomb: NY Open — that’s where the lie is exposed. Wait for confirmation. Be ruthless. 🕒 HOURLY SESSION BEHAVIOR MAP London Open (10:00 Cairo) Expect reactive volatility; test into Yellow Zone. Watch VWAP test and cloud flat-top reaction. Pre-New York (14:00–15:30) Trap behavior. Sweep below Conversion Line (3,356) then spring. Ichimoku shows bullish TK Cross. Volume divergence may fakeout sellers. New York Open (15:30) Decision zone. Break of Green or rejection from Red. Volume MA is key: if above 22K, STRIKE; if flat, DEFEND. New York Close (22:00) Likely to range after directional move is completed. Scalp or flatten swing. ========================== ✅ 1. Price Action Patterns Tight coil after impulse up — consolidation above Ichimoku Kumo cloud on 1H and 4H. Breakout candle (bullish engulfing) on daily from May 3–May 6 → indicates bullish control. Repeated equal highs at 3,367–3,368 = liquidity magnet. Watch for fake break then dump or clean breakout continuation. 🔄 2. Range-Bound Dynamics Compression range: Support: 3,355–3,356 Resistance: 3,368–3,370 Inside this box → it's a battlefield. Above 3,368 = breakout. Below 3,355 = fade dump incoming. ⚠️ NY session will be the trigger — London is setup. 🔥 3. Trend Analysis Short-term trend: Bullish Mid-term trend: Neutral → forming base Long-term trend: Bullish recovery phase from April low (massive V-shape reversal off demand zone) EMA Stacks (4H/1D): All EMAs pointing up, price stacked → bullish structure 📊 4. Volume Analysis Accumulation Phase Confirmed: Massive buying under cloud, now springing up No sell climax yet = buyers in control Volume spike + candle body = legit move. 🌊 5. Wave Analysis This is Wave 3 of 5 in impulse cycle post-April bottom. Wave 1 = impulse rally Wave 2 = pullback (inside Kumo) Wave 3 now emerging with target near 3,388–3,400 If fails → early termination → dump back to 3,320 zone. 🧩 6. Harmonic Pattern Read Potential Bearish Bat forming on Daily XA = 3200 to 3360 AB = 3360 to 3270 BC = 3270 to 3368 (current) If it hits 3,387–3,390 = perfect D point → time to SHORT HARD 🎯 FINAL STRATEGIC OUTLOOK: BATTLE MAP Zone Action Justification 3,368+ Buy Stop Breakout Above structure + volume confirmation 3,355 Liquidity Sweep Buy Trap & spring with LTF divergence 3,387+ Sell Limit Supply wall, Harmonic D-point 3,344 Crash Zone Below cloud, momentum dies, dump begins 🟢 BULLISH SCENARIO Expect: Pullback to Conversion Line ~3,356 → Spring Ichimoku Cloud showing bullish Kumo twist and bullish price outside cloud Volume spike confirms breakout above 3,368 Tactical Entry (Breakout Play) Type of Entry: Buy Stop Entry Price: 3,368.10 Stop Loss (SL): 3,354.00 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3,378.00 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3,387.00 Take Profit 3 (TP3): 3,400.00 Confidence Level: 85% Justification: Bullish structure + breakout above XAUMO Green Zone + volume + Ichimoku TK Cross + price above Kumo. 🔻 BEARISH SCENARIO Expect: Price rejects above 3,387 Massive wick and return to base at 3,355 Volume divergence + RVOL spike signals trap Tactical Entry (Rejection Play) Type of Entry: Sell Limit Entry Price: 3,387.00 Stop Loss (SL): 3,395.00 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3,368.00 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3,356.00 Take Profit 3 (TP3): 3,340.00 Confidence Level: 75% Justification: Supply rejection zone + multiple timeframe exhaustion + RVOL peak divergence + confirmed bearish momentum. ⏱️ EXECUTION TIMING GUIDE ✅ STRIKE: At NY Open if volume spikes & price breaks 3,368 cleanly. If breakout retests Green Zone + holds — reload. 🛡️ DEFEND: If price whipsaws above 3,368 without volume confirmation. Wait for confirmation. If Red Zone hit with low RVOL — fade it. ⚔️ SCALP: 3,356 – 3,359 zone if high wick traps and quick reversal printed. 🧱 SWING: Only if NY closes above 3,368 or rejects 3,387 hard — otherwise intraday only.
FX:XAUUSD
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
EURUSDHello everyone! I'd like to share an ideal **Buy opportunity** on the **EURUSD** pair with you. The trade is currently **active** on my side. 🔍 **Criteria:** ✔️ Timeframe: 15M ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.17 ✔️ Trade Direction: Buy ✔️ Entry Price: 1.13204 ✔️ Take Profit: 1.13335 ✔️ Stop Loss: 1.13092 🔔 **Disclaimer:** This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes. 📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies: 💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses.
Long
by Nurlan_PT
OSZAR »